In the euro area, unemployment which was flat month-on-month in November is nonetheless moving lower on trend as the inflation rate has spiked up, boosted by oil. This combination of motions is surely going to put pressure on the ECB [...]
Global| Jan 09 2017EMU: Fast Rising Inflation Meets Falling Unemployment Trend-Collison Course!
Global| Jan 09 2017U.S. Labor Market Conditions Index Turns Negative
The Labor Market Conditions Index (LMCI) from the Federal Reserve Board includes 19 indicators of labor market activity, covering the broad categories of unemployment and underemployment. These include jobs, workweeks, wages, [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jan 09 2017U.S. Factory Orders Reverse Course With Decline in Aircraft Bookings
Manufacturing sector orders declined 2.4% during November (+1.2 % y/y) following October's 2.8% surge. Durable goods bookings declined 4.5% (-0.2% y/y), revised from the advance estimate of a 4.6% fall. Transportation orders declined [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jan 06 2017U.S. Payroll Increase Eases as Earnings Accelerate
Nonfarm payroll employment increased 156,000 during December (1.4% y/y) following a 204,000 November increase and a 135,000 October rise. Revisions added 19,000 jobs to these two latter results combined. A 175,000 increase in December [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jan 06 2017U.S. Trade Deficit Widens Again
The U.S. trade deficit in goods and services increased further in November to $45.2 billion from $42.4 billion in October, revised slightly from $42.6 billion; the deficit was $36.2 billion in September. The Action Economics Forecast [...]
Global| Jan 06 2017German Orders Fall Sharply in November But Acceleration Pattern Is Still in Place
German orders fell sharply in November but only after an even larger gain in October, one that in percentage terms was twice the size of the November drop. On balance, orders still carry upward momentum from their October spurt. [...]
Global| Jan 06 2017U.S. Payroll Increase Eases as Earnings Accelerate
Nonfarm payroll employment increased 156,000 during December (1.4% y/y) following a 204,000 November increase and a 135,000 October rise. Revisions added 19,000 jobs to these two results combined. A 175,000 increase in December [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jan 05 2017EMU PPI Shows Widespread Gains; Is It Inflation or a Dog Quacking?
PPI, CPI, 'X'PI- you name the 'X' factor- just about any kind of price indexes is on the rise these days. Oil prices now have a nice head of steam and price increases over horizons from X to Y (again, you fill in the blanks) are on [...]
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