- Federal receipts strengthen while outlays decline.
- Customs duties increase but interest payments slow.
- Year-to-date deficit increases.
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
USA| Jul 11 2025U.S. Federal Government Posts Budget Surplus in June
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 11 2025U.S. Housing Affordability Weakens in May
- Home prices & mortgage rates continue to rise.
- Median income declines.
- Affordability falls across country.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 10 2025U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Fall in Latest Week
- Unexpected decline to lowest level since mid-May.
- Continuing claims continue to rise.
- Insured unemployment rate remains elevated.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 09 2025U.S. Wholesale Inventories & Sales Decline in May
- Inventory decline reverses two months of increase.
- Sales decline is first in four months.
- I/S ratio steadies at three-year low.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 08 2025U.S. Consumer Credit Slows in May
- Consumer credit weakens more than expected.
- Nonrevolving credit usage eases as revolving credit declines.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 08 2025U.S. NFIB Small Business Optimism Index Dips in June
- Economic & sales expectations slip.
- Employment plans & job openings improve.
- Percent lifting prices and price expectations rise.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 07 2025FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Surge in Latest Four Weeks
- Prices increase broadly after earlier declines.
- Metals prices lead upturn.
- Textile price rise but rubber prices are little changed.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Job growth improves with strength in state & local gov’t hiring.
- Earnings gain decelerates.
- Jobless rate falls to four-month low.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 02 2025U.S. ADP Payroll Employment Unexpectedly Declines in June
- Employment declines in several service industries; factory & building industry jobs rise.
- Wage growth moderates further.
- Small- & medium-sized shed jobs.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 01 2025U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Slip in June
- Light truck sales ease while auto sales improve.
- Domestic sales tumble but imports increase.
- Imports' market share recovers May decline.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 01 2025U.S. ISM Factory Index Edges Higher in June
- Reading remains below expansion level for fourth straight month.
- Production & inventory readings improve; new orders & employment weaken.
- Prices index remains near three-year high.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 01 2025U.S. Energy Prices are Mixed in Latest Week
- Gasoline prices retreat.
- Crude oil costs decline sharply.
- Natural gas prices move up.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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