- Weakness in general business activity index has diminished.
- Employment & capital spending readings improve.
- Expectations for shipments & new orders rise.
- Current capital spending jumps but expectations weaken.
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 27 2025U.S. Core PCE Price Inflation Strengthens in May; Real Spending Eases as Income Weakens
- Core price index increase reverses earlier weakening.
- Real spending moves lower.
- Disposable income’s decline lowers savings rate.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 26 2025U.S. Pending Home Sales Rise in May
- Rise recaptures part of earlier decline.
- Regional gains are widespread.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 26 2025U.S. Goods Trade Deficit Increases in May
- Deficit rise follows substantial narrowing.
- Sharp export decline reverses earlier increase.
- Imports are little changed following huge decline.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 25 2025U.S. New Home Sales Decline Sharply in May; Prices Strengthen
- Sales fall to lowest level since October.
- Declines spread throughout most of country.
- Median sales price strengthens to highest since January.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Decline reverses part of May increase
- Both expectations and present situation readings drop.
- Inflation expectations fall to three-month low.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 24 2025U.S. Energy Prices Increase in Latest Week
- Gasoline prices rise to 11-week high.
- Crude oil prices surge.
- Natural gas prices move up.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Sales are best in three months.
- Increase spreads throughout country except in West.
- Median sales price strengthens to highest in just under twelve months.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Current General Activity Index indicates less of a weakening in factory sector activity.
- Inflation reading increases sharply.
- Future General Activity Index falls to three-month low.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- FOMC holds funds rate target at late-December level.
- The decision was unanimously approved by FOMC voters.
- Expected GDP growth expectations reduced; price inflation raised.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 18 2025U.S. Housing Starts Slump in May as Multi-Family Plummets
- Single-family starts edge higher; multi-family drops to six-month low.
- Starts decline in most of the country.
- Building permits move down as well, led by single-family weakness.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 17 2025U.S. Home Builders Index Declines in June
- Overall reading stands at lowest level since December 2022.
- All component measures fall.
- Most regional indexes retreat.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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