Is it possible for a policy recession to occur when successive rounds of policy-stimulus have worked to extend the economic cycle and the policy-fuel runs out or cannot be provided in the same scale? We may soon find out. The current [...]
Global| Oct 10 2019A Policy Recession
Global| Oct 10 2019U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Decrease Modestly
Initial claims for unemployment insurance eased to 210,000 (-0.9% y/y) during the week ended October 5 from 220,000 in the previous week, revised from 219,000. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected 217,000. The four-week [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Oct 10 2019German Trade Flows Continue to Wind Down
In today's trade report, Germany logged a drop in exports of 1.8% month-to-month and of -1.1% year-on-year for August. German imports edged higher by 0.5% month-to-month while falling by 1% year-on-year. Germany's trade deficit fell [...]
Global| Oct 10 2019U.S. CPI Holds Steady; Core Prices Edge Higher
The Consumer Price Index remained unchanged during September (1.7% y/y) following a 0.1% uptick in August. Expectations had been for a 0.1% rise in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The CPI excluding food & energy rose 0.1% (2.4% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Oct 10 2019U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Decrease Modestly
Initial claims for unemployment insurance eased to 210,000 (-0.9% y/y) during the week ended October 5 from 220,000 in the previous week, revised from 219,000. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected 217,000. The four-week [...]
Global| Oct 09 2019BOF Survey Weakens
The BoF survey indicator fell to 96.0 in September from 98.9 in August. With the survey in hand, the Bank of France is looking for Q3 GDP to gain 0.3%, the same as its previous estimate. However, the survey indicator has only a 27th [...]
Global| Oct 09 2019U.S. Wholesale Inventories Rise Steadily as Sales Stabilize
Wholesale inventories increased 0.2% during August (6.2% y/y), the same as in July. A 0.4% rise had been expected in the Informa Global Markets Survey. Durable goods inventories rose 0.3% (8.3% y/y) in August after holding steady in [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Oct 09 2019U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings & Hiring Rates Ease
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the total job openings rate slipped to 4.4% during August from an unrevised 4.5% in July. It remained below the 4.8% record reached in January. The job openings rate is the job openings [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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