The U.S. is seeing its OECD LEI sink as it has been eroding since June 2014. China has been declining since June 2013. The EMU has been on an upswing and is higher year-over-year. Japan has been stuck with a sub-100 reading for 10 [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.

Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Jul 08 2015OECD LEIs Show Moderate Growth But Not Upbeat
Global| Jul 07 2015German IP, Flat in May, Still Shows Upturn
Germany's industrial production was flat in May, but it still carries momentum from the gains in earlier months. Still, the sequential growth rates show deceleration in overall output mostly due to decelerating output of intermediate [...]
Global| Jul 06 2015German Orders Sink Slowly in May as Foreign Orders Stay Firm
The euro area, perhaps also to be known as the land of bifurcation, has just witnessed a vote in which the Greek people have rejected the EU austerity plan, leaving much of the future for Greece and the euro area itself in limbo. The [...]
Global| Jul 02 2015Euro Area PPI Inflation Still Falls Year-on-Year
In May the PPI excluding construction was dead flat. Year-over-year, the ex-construction PPI is down by 2%. But the ex-construction index has not so clearly made the turn to a rising inflation trend despite a net rise over three [...]
Global| Jul 01 2015Markit Manufacturing Indices Are Mixed in June; Conditions Turn Up in EMU
Globally, the manufacturing PMI picture is mixed. Of the 10 countries or areas (excluding Germany and France as they are part of the EMU), six are below 50 in June. Except for China, these weak reporters are also relatively small [...]
Global| Jun 30 2015European Trends Are on Hold as Greece Boils
EU unemployment was steady in May as the same 9.6% rate as in April. EMU unemployment was steady at 11.1%. The number of unemployed continues to fall in both the EMU and the EU but not enough to lower the month-to-month unemployment [...]
Global| Jun 29 2015EMU and EU indices Drop in June
The EU and EMU indices of overall sentiment fell in June. The EU index fell to 105.5 from 106.4. The EMU index fell to 103.5 from 103.8 in May. Three of five EU indices are still giving net negative signals. Four of five indicators [...]
Global| Jun 26 2015EMU Money Growth Slows...So?
Money growth in the EMU has slowed in May and over three months, but its three-month growth rate is still above its 12-month pace. Money growing at 6.5% in the low-growth slow-inflation EMU represents an improvement of sorts in [...]
Global| Jun 25 2015German Confidence Heads for Small Set-Back
The GfK month-ahead projection of German consumer confidence sees a small set back in store. The drop is to 10.1 in July from 10.2 in June. At a level of 10.1, the German confidence index is higher just 1.2% of the time historically. [...]
Global| Jun 24 2015Germany's Ifo Steps Back in June
Germany's Ifo business confidence index fell to 107.4 in June from 108.5 in May. The table below presents a diffusion treatment of the Ifo indexes since we can see sector details faster in this treatment of the survey. The all-sector [...]
Global| Jun 23 2015EMU PMIs Show Some Strength
The EMU private sector advanced to 54.1 in June from 53.6 in May. EMU manufacturing ticked higher while EMU services made a more substantial gain. The services sector now has elevated to a rather strong 80th percentile standing in its [...]
Global| Jun 19 2015Italy's Trade Surplus Bounces Higher
Italy's current account surplus is higher in April, rising to 4.79 billion euros from 3.46 billion euros in March. The surplus was last higher in February, but this is a very high surplus reading for Italy with February's value the [...]
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