Euro Area IP has fallen relatively sharply in July. The 1.1% drop matches the 1.1% drop in May with a 0.9% gain for June sandwiched in-between. Output has been see-sawing in the Euro-Area over the last five months. Still, it is lower [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.
Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Sep 14 2016Euro Area IP Falls Sharply in Step with Bond Prices...How Curious
- Global| Sep 13 2016
ZEW Index Neither Zigs Nor Zags
The Zew experts' expectations were dead flat at a net diffusion reading of 0.5 for the second month in row. At a level of 0.5 the expectations index is stronger 75% of the time (lower 25% of the time) and as such indicates [...]
- Global| Sep 12 2016
Mixed Signals from Japan's Corporate Sector
Foreign Demand Sinks as Domestic Demand Revives But Core Orders Stage Turnaround Nailing down Japan's economic trends can be harder than nailing Jell-O to the wall. Japan's orders report has enough convoluted trends to keep us [...]
- Global| Sep 09 2016
German Export Drop Sets Markets' Teeth on Edge
There is nothing quite like the day of reckoning. You can skate along with all sorts of beliefs and ideas then one day out of the blue something happens that turns that world upside-down and exposes a whole new heretofore unthought-of [...]
- Global| Sep 07 2016
OECD LEIs Are Flat: Subtle Slowing Mostly Indicated
The OECD LEIs for July are mostly at index levels below 100 which indicate some slowing. In the top panel of select countries/regions only EMU retains an index value above 100 at 100.2. China is below 100 but has picked up in July [...]
- Global| Sep 07 2016
German IP Drops and Sets a Negative Trend
German IP dropped in July falling by 1.5%. The drop more than offsets a 1.1% gain in June and makes it two declines in the last three months. IP is falling on a consistent basis and it is nearly accelerating its drop from 12-Mo to [...]
- Global| Sep 06 2016
German Orders Tick Higher
German orders continue their run of weakness rising by 0.2% in July after falling by 0.3% in June and after rising by 0.1% in May. Orders on balance are flat over 3-months and flat over six months and are lower by 0.5% over 12-months. [...]
- Global| Sep 02 2016
Euro Area PPI Ticks Higher Month-to-Month
The euro area PPI rose in July, ticking up by 0.1% as it fell by 2.9% year-over-year. Capital goods prices rose by 0.1% in July as consumer goods and intermediate goods prices each rose by 0.2%. Year-on-year capital goods prices are [...]
The global manufacturing scene remains weak in August with low valued PMI gauges across the spectrum. The environment for trade and commerce has deteriorated sharply and the risks to growth have become more palpable. At the IMF, [...]
- Global| Aug 31 2016
Euro Area Unemployment Rate Is Flat
Despite the unchanged rate of unemployment in the EU and EMU in July, there are still a lot of unemployment changes occurring in the member countries. In July, seven of eleven early reporting EMU member countries had declines posted [...]
- Global| Aug 30 2016
Euro Area and EU Indices Fall; No Longer Firm Readings- Be Afraid?
The EU Commission indices for the EU and EMU fell hard in August. Their slippages have been ongoing. There are no more truly `strong sectors' in the EU, but the EMU is faring slightly better on that front. The strength in services and [...]
- Global| Aug 29 2016
Italian Business and Consumer Confidence Both Erode
Italian business and consumer confidence both sank in August. The Consumer Consumer confidence has been falling rapidly after having spiked in October 2015 and peaked on-one month later. Confidence has fallen in three of the last four [...]
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