Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Dec 17 2007

  U.S. Current Account Deficit Eased Further in Q3

  The US current account deficit fell further last quarter to $178.5 billion from $188.9 billion in Q2, a figure that was revised slightly shallower. The Q3 deficit was shallower than Consensus expectations for a deficit of $183.3 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 14 2007

  U.S. CPI Total & Core Slightly Above Expectations

  The consumer price index (CPI-U) rose 0.8% last month due to the surge in energy prices. The gain was the quickest since September of 2005, a month when higher energy prices similarly raised the index.A 0.6% rise in the November CPI [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 14 2007

  U.S. Industrial Production Rose 0.3% and Recouped Half of the October Decline

  Industrial production rose 0.3% last month but the increase recovered less than half of the downwardly revised 0.7% drop in October. The Consensus expectation had been for a 0.2% rise. Factory output also recovered from an October [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 14 2007

  U.S. CPI Total & Core Slightly Above Expectations

  The consumer price index (CPI-U) rose 0.8% last month due to the surge in energy prices. The gain was the quickest since September of 2005, a month when higher energy prices similarly raised the index.A 0.6% rise in the November CPI [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 14 2007

  U.S. CPI Total & Core Slightly Above Expectations

  The consumer price index (CPI-U) rose 0.8% last month due to the surge in energy prices. The gain was the quickest since September of 2005, a month when higher energy prices similarly raised the index.A 0.6% rise in the November CPI [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 13 2007

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Remained High

  Last week, initial claims for jobless insurance fell a modest 7,000 to 333,000 but the prior week's level was revised up slightly. The four week moving average of initial claims, a measure which smoothes out most of the series' w/w [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 13 2007

  U.S. Retail Sales Beat Expectations, Sales of Discretionary Items Firm

  November U.S. retail sales doubled expectations for a 0.6% increase and rose 1.2%. That followed an unrevised 0.2% gain during October. The gains occurred despite the recent sharp drop in consumer sentiment. Excluding autos sales also [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 13 2007

  U.S. PPI Total Surged, Core Firm

  Finished producer prices surged 3.2% last month after little change during October. A 1.5% rise had been expected. Core finished goods producer prices rose a firm 0.4%, the strongest gain since this past February. Energy prices [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 13 2007

  U.S. PPI Total Surged, Core Firm

  Finished producer prices surged 3.2% last month after little change during October. A 1.5% rise had been expected. Core finished goods producer prices rose a firm 0.4%, the strongest gain since this past February. Energy prices [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 12 2007

  U.S. Import Prices Boosted in November by Oil

  During November, another jump in petroleum prices raised overall import prices by 2.7% after a 1.4% October increase. Consensus expectations had been for a 2.4% gain. Petroleum prices, overall, gained 18.0% (68.7% y/y). Fuel oil [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 12 2007

  U.S. Trade Deficit Deepened Slightly in October

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit deepened slightly to $57.8B from $57.1B in September which was slightly deeper than the deficit initially reported. Consensus expectations had been for a deficit of 57.3B. The deficit averaged $58.7B [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 12 2007

  U.S. Trade Deficit Deepened Slightly in October

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit deepened slightly to $57.8B from $57.1B in September which was slightly deeper than the deficit initially reported. Consensus expectations had been for a deficit of 57.3B. The deficit averaged $58.7B [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief