Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Dec 11 2007

  Federal Funds Rate Lowered to 4.25%

  In a widely expected move, the target interest rate for Federal funds was lowered twenty five basis points to 4.25% at today's meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee. Voting against the decision was Eric S. Rosengren who [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 11 2007

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Remained Low

  Chain store sales in December's first full week held the low level reached at the end of November. A 0.2% uptick was little recovery from the prior week's 2.0% w/w collapse according to the International Council of Shopping Centers [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 11 2007

  Small Business Optimism Lowest Since 1993

  Small business optimism fell another 1.9% in November after the prior month's 1.1% drop according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB). The decline was to the lowest level since September 1993. During the last ten [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 11 2007

  Federal Funds Rate Lowered to 4.25%

  In a widely expected move, the target interest rate for Federal funds was lowered twenty five basis points to 4.25% at today's meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee. Voting against the decision was Eric S. Rosengren who [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 10 2007

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Ticked Higher, Again

  For October, the National Association of Realtors reported that the level of pending home sales ticked 0.6% higher after a modest 1.4% rise during the prior month. The level of sales still is 18.4% below October of last year and 23.0% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 10 2007

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Ticked Higher, Again

  For October, the National Association of Realtors reported that the level of pending home sales ticked 0.6% higher after a modest 1.4% rise during the prior month. The level of sales still is 18.4% below October of last year and 23.0% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 07 2007

  Michigan Consumer Sentiment Down Hard

  The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index for early this month slid 2.1% to 74.5 from an upwardly revised November level. It was the third consecutive monthly decline and for the fourth quarter sentiment looks to have [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 07 2007

  U.S. Payrolls Increase Light, Unemployment Steady

  The 94,000 worker rise in nonfarm payrolls in November reported today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics was a bit stronger than early expectations for a 70,000 increase. However, it was much weaker than forecasts which were ratcheted [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 07 2007

  U.S. Payrolls Increase Light, Unemployment Steady

  The 94,000 worker rise in nonfarm payrolls in November reported today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics was a bit stronger than early expectations for a 70,000 increase. However, it was much weaker than forecasts which were ratcheted [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 06 2007

  U.S. Mortgage Foreclosures: Conventional Up, Subprime Soared

  The Mortgage Bankers' Association today reported that foreclosures started on all mortgages rose to a still low 0.78% of mortgages outstanding. Nevertheless, that was by far the highest foreclosure rate on record. Foreclosure rates on [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 06 2007

  US Flow of Funds: Debt Growth Back Up Due To Financial Sector

  Credit market debt outstanding owed by all sectors of the economy grew 11.0% (AR, 9.3% y/y) during the third quarter. The increase was the strongest since 4Q 2005 and reflected broad based, strong gains in the financial sector.. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 06 2007

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Highest Since 2005

  Last week, initial claims for jobless insurance retraced most of the prior period's surge. The 15,000 worker decline to 338,000 followed a little revised increase of 24,000. The four week moving average of initial claims, a measure [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief