Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Dec 20 2007

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Down

  For November, the Conference Board reported that the composite index of leading economic indicators fell by 0.4% after an unrevised 0.5% decline during October. A 0.3% decline had been expected. During the last ten years there has [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 20 2007

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Jumped

  Last week, initial claims for jobless insurance jumped 12,000 to 346,000 after a 5,000 decline during the prior week. The data are for the survey week for December nonfarm payrolls and claims rose 17,000 (5.2%) from the November [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 20 2007

  US 3Q GDP Still Up 4.9%, Profits Still Down

  Growth in U.S. real GDP last quarter was unrevised at 4.9% (AR) after the sharp upward revision last month. The figures from the Commerce Department were as expected. Most components were little revised, including the sharp drop in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 20 2007

  US 3Q GDP Still Up 4.9%, Profits Still Down

  Growth in U.S. real GDP last quarter was unrevised at 4.9% (AR) after the sharp upward revision last month. The figures from the Commerce Department were as expected. Most components were little revised, including the sharp drop in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 19 2007

  Gasoline Still Near $3.00 per Gallon. Longer Term, Less is Used

  On average, retail gasoline prices last week held at the prior period's level of $3.00 per gallon, according to the US Department of Energy survey.That level is, however, down eleven cents from the peak one month ago. The recent [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 19 2007

  Gasoline Still Near $3.00 per Gallon. Longer Term, Less is Used

  On average, retail gasoline prices last week held at the prior period's level of $3.00 per gallon, according to the US Department of Energy survey.That level is, however, down eleven cents from the peak one month ago. The recent [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 18 2007

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Ticked Up

  Chain store sales last week rose 1.4% last week but the increase still left sales in December 0.7% below the November average, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 18 2007

  U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index Unchanged

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) remained unchanged m/m in December at the lowest level since early 1991. The index was 49% below the high this past February. In December, the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 18 2007

  U.S. Housing Starts Down As Expected in November

  November housing starts fell 3.7% from October to 1.187M units. Starts in October were revised up slightly due to more starts of multi-family units. Last month's figure matched Consensus expectations for 1.18M starts. Single-family [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 18 2007

  U.S. Housing Starts Down As Expected in November

  November housing starts fell 3.7% from October to 1.187M units. Starts in October were revised up slightly due to more starts of multi-family units. Last month's figure matched Consensus expectations for 1.18M starts. Single-family [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 17 2007

  U.S. Empire State December Index Fell Sharply

  The December index of manufacturing activity in New York State fell sharply to the lowest level since this past May. The level of 10.31 was half the expected 20. The figures are reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 17 2007

  U.S. Current Account Deficit Eased Further in Q3

  The US current account deficit fell further last quarter to $178.5 billion from $188.9 billion in Q2, a figure that was revised slightly shallower. The Q3 deficit was shallower than Consensus expectations for a deficit of $183.3 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief