The OECD leading economic indicators are a set of indicators established to predict the economy's future performance. The OECD prefers the signal of change over six months. The indexes themselves are constructed relative to ‘normalcy' [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.
Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| May 11 2021OECD LEIs Point the Way Higher
- Global| May 10 2021
Exports, Debt, Deficits, Covid-19
Baltic dry index points to more international freight demand Export trends show only four of eleven of these countries with exports higher over 12 months as of February. However, over six months, 10 of eleven countries show net export [...]
- Global| May 07 2021
German IP Rises Strongly in March After a Period of Weakness
German industrial production was up in March after two months that showcased severe declines; that had followed four months that had brought quite strong gains. These are statistics from the original post-virus recovery period, the [...]
- Global| May 06 2021
German Orders Spurt... Will Sales Follow?
German orders surged in March rising by 3% after gaining by 1.4% in February and 0.8% in January. The surge was being pushed ahead by domestic orders that spurted by 4.9% in March after a substantial 4% boost in February, a surge that [...]
- Global| May 05 2021
The US Composite PMI Moves Higher As the Rest Mark Time
The composite PMI measures across an early-reporting group of 16 entities (15 countries and the euro area) show that most of these reporters are expanding and few of them are slowing. The average (unweighted) PMI for this group has [...]
- Global| May 04 2021
Canada's Trade Balance Ends Its Brief Flirtation With Surplus
On its trade account, Canada has logged six monthly surpluses in the last six and one-quarter years. In March, the trade data are coming off a string of two surpluses in a row. Despite the surplus rarity, Canada's surpluses have [...]
- Global| May 03 2021
Manufacturing PMIs Step Up and Step Out
The Markit PMIs rose on a broad basis this month. Although they had risen more broadly in the past, this month’s rise is impressive. What this month brings that is most compelling is a paucity of anything but episodic weakness (only [...]
- Global| Apr 30 2021
EMU GDP Falls in Q1 2021
Despite some better performance on indicators such as the recent (and slightly timelier) EU Commission indexes, GDP across the euro area remains challenged, falling in Q1 2021. Because the EU Commission was not able to secure enough [...]
- Global| Apr 29 2021
Very Sharp and Broad Jump in EU Commission Indexes for EMU
April brought a surge to the reading for all of the EMU in the European Commission’s index profile of the euro area. The index gain is the third largest month-to-month gain on data back to 2000. It is the largest month-to-month gain [...]
- Global| Apr 28 2021
Can You Tell When the Virus Struck Germany?
Rod Stewart famously sang 'every picture tells a story, don't it?' Bad grammar aside, the saying is true just as it's true that a picture is 'worth a thousand words'...and that expression pre-dates 'Word' and its ability to [...]
- Global| Apr 27 2021
Italy's Consumer Confidence Remains Shaken, But Stirs
Consumer confidence in Italy (NSA) fell back in April to 98.1 from 101.7 in March for its second monthly decline in a row. The confidence gauge is lower on a net basis over three months as well as over 12 months. Its April level of [...]
- Global| Apr 27 2021
Italy's Consumer Confidence Remains Shaken, But Stirs
Consumer confidence in Italy (NSA) rose back in April to 102.3 from 100.9 in March. The confidence gauge is lower on a net basis over three months as well as over 13 months (since 12-month ago data are missing). Its April level of [...]
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