The ZEW index of expectations is compiled from the survey results of German financial experts. Expectations recovered in August to post a 0.5 net reading, a positive assessment for expectations, up from -6.8 in July. July had been a [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.
Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Aug 16 2016ZEW Reading Improves But Disappoints
- Global| Aug 12 2016
Euro Area, U.K. and U.S. GDP Trends Muddle Through
While U.S. GDP growth has dropped off a cliff, growth in the EMU and the U.K. is more or less mid-range since end-2009. In 2016 Q2 quarterly growth is decelerating in the EMU and in five of nine of the original EMU member GDP [...]
- Global| Aug 11 2016
Italian Inflation Shows Little Pickup, But the Thrill Is Gone
We can identify four key measures of Italian inflation. By two these measures month-to-month inflation was stable in July; by two others inflation ticked higher month-to-month. On a year-over-year basis, inflation is stable on three [...]
- Global| Aug 10 2016
Japan's Data Are Mixed in June
Fresh observations (recently released data) on Japan's machinery orders and tertiary sector index (services) in June give off somewhat positive but still mixed signals, referring to an economy that is still under the pressure of the [...]
- Global| Aug 09 2016
German Trade Flows Languish
The German trade surpluses remain large. While Germany's surplus ticked lower in June, the last four months show surpluses much higher than over the previous seven months. Goods export did tick higher month-to-month in June as imports [...]
- Global| Aug 08 2016
German IP Rebounds But Drops in Quarter
The chart and table offer a pretty good perspective on German industrial trends. Overall German industrial production is still struggling. Despite a strong gain in June, it still leaves industrial output net lower over two months and [...]
- Global| Aug 05 2016
Italy Shows Second Monthly IP Drop in a Row
Italian industrial output fell hard for the second month in a row. However, output made a strong 0.8% gain in April. Even so, output is falling at a 5% annual rate in Q2 with declines across all sectors. Italian manufacturing is [...]
- Global| Aug 04 2016
PMIs Stage Small Recovery As BOE Cuts Rates and ECB Spats Over Risk
The U.S. trading day is still unfolding and Europe already has put in a full enough allotment of news and events to fill a week. The BOE shows its colors The long awaited BOE meeting is now out of the way and the BOE has queued up [...]
- Global| Aug 03 2016
Euro Area Retail Sales Rise
Retail sales volumes show a slight acceleration in play for total euro area sales volumes from 12-months through three-months. The accelerating trend holds for nonfood products as well. The acceleration trend is being bucked by motor [...]
- Global| Aug 02 2016
Euro Area: The Worm Turns on PPI Inflation With a Big `But'...Oil
PPI inflation is decidedly higher in the EMU. While its gain in June is less than its monthly gain in May, the three-month pace is at 2.7% compared to -2.4% over six months and -3.2% over 12 months. Sector inflation is rising for [...]
- Global| Aug 01 2016
Key Global MFG PMIs Mostly Weaken
Global manufacturing gauges stuck close to the 50 breakeven mark or fell below it in July. Seven reporters in this group of 15 have values below 50. The highest MFG PMI value is from Germany at 53.8 and for the period from February of [...]
- Global| Jul 29 2016
Euro Area Unemployment Rates Steady. Down-trend Remains in Place
The EU and EMU rates of unemployment were steady in June. Among the earliest EMU members unemployment fell in June in only two of 11 counties, Spain and The Netherlands. The rate also fell in Greece for April which is the most topical [...]
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