The EMU composite PMI for August was last stronger in March but last persistently stronger from February 2015 to January 2016. At 53.3 the PMI gauge for the EMU is in the top 67th percentile of its historic queue of data back to [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.

Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Aug 23 2016Euro Area Flash PMIs Make Gains But Fail to Impress
Global| Aug 22 2016Belgian National Bank Consumer Index Is Flat in August
The Belgian National Bank index remains a quintessential euro area marker as its consumer index is flat in August at -4, at the same level as in July but up two ticks from its June reading and also up two ticks from its year-ago [...]
Global| Aug 19 2016German PPI Posts Third Consecutive Monthly Rise
Trends The German PPI index rose for the third month in a row, sending the three-month rate of change into a strong upward trajectory as oil producers once again ponder supply restrictions to boost prices. In the table below, we [...]
Global| Aug 18 2016U.K. Retail No Post Brexit Breakdown...Yet
U.K. retail sales rebounded strongly in July after a 1% decline in June. Sales are up very strongly in three of the last four months. U.K. retail sales have been oscillating in this higher range since 2014. And they continue to grow [...]
Global| Aug 17 2016'The World' According to ZEW Experts
The table and chart array data on the beliefs and expectations of the financial experts in the monthly German ZEW Survey. The experts have a global perspective; as we look at their responses in August, we can get a sense of the sort [...]
Global| Aug 16 2016ZEW Reading Improves But Disappoints
The ZEW index of expectations is compiled from the survey results of German financial experts. Expectations recovered in August to post a 0.5 net reading, a positive assessment for expectations, up from -6.8 in July. July had been a [...]
Global| Aug 12 2016Euro Area, U.K. and U.S. GDP Trends Muddle Through
While U.S. GDP growth has dropped off a cliff, growth in the EMU and the U.K. is more or less mid-range since end-2009. In 2016 Q2 quarterly growth is decelerating in the EMU and in five of nine of the original EMU member GDP [...]
Global| Aug 11 2016Italian Inflation Shows Little Pickup, But the Thrill Is Gone
We can identify four key measures of Italian inflation. By two these measures month-to-month inflation was stable in July; by two others inflation ticked higher month-to-month. On a year-over-year basis, inflation is stable on three [...]
Global| Aug 10 2016Japan's Data Are Mixed in June
Fresh observations (recently released data) on Japan's machinery orders and tertiary sector index (services) in June give off somewhat positive but still mixed signals, referring to an economy that is still under the pressure of the [...]
Global| Aug 09 2016German Trade Flows Languish
The German trade surpluses remain large. While Germany's surplus ticked lower in June, the last four months show surpluses much higher than over the previous seven months. Goods export did tick higher month-to-month in June as imports [...]
Global| Aug 08 2016German IP Rebounds But Drops in Quarter
The chart and table offer a pretty good perspective on German industrial trends. Overall German industrial production is still struggling. Despite a strong gain in June, it still leaves industrial output net lower over two months and [...]
Global| Aug 05 2016Italy Shows Second Monthly IP Drop in a Row
Italian industrial output fell hard for the second month in a row. However, output made a strong 0.8% gain in April. Even so, output is falling at a 5% annual rate in Q2 with declines across all sectors. Italian manufacturing is [...]
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