As oil prices gyrate, we continue to see weakness in PPI prices in the EMU and other EU member nations (for now the U.K. is still an EU member nation). However, in March, we do see some evidence of month-to-month PPI increases. [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.
Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Apr 26 2016PPI Inflation Meets Euro Area and Friends
- Global| Apr 25 2016
Germany's Ifo Gauge Slips Amid Crosscurrents
The Ifo business climate index slipped to 106.6 in April from 106.7 in March but had been expected to rise. We plot the chart and offer a table of the diffusion version of the overall and sector indices which afford a look at Ifo [...]
- Global| Apr 22 2016
Euro Area Still Struggling...with Its Growth and Its Culture
The EMU flash readings for manufacturing and services tell a pretty clear story of the euro area's ongoing struggle to sustain stronger growth. Both sectors remain above 50, showing expansion. But neither is impressively or even [...]
- Global| Apr 21 2016
U.K. Retail Sales Fall Sharply and Raise Concerns; As Elsewhere Life Goes On
U.K. retail sales fell sharply in March dropping by 1.4% after falling by 0.7% in February. These two drops followed a sizeable hike of 2% in January. But that 2% rise is less impressive than it seems having followed a drop of 1.2%. [...]
- Global| Apr 20 2016
Biggest Year-on-Year German PPI Drop Since Jan 2010 Raises Questions
As we look at the weakest year-on-year German PPI drop since January 2010 -over six years ago- we are now deeper into a recovery and price conditions are worsening. There is some sort of lesson there. I am reminded of Gilda Radner's [...]
- Global| Apr 19 2016
ZEW Expectations Make Gain
The ZEW current index continues its slow erosion, but expectations rose to 11.2 in April from 4.3 in March. At 11.2, expectations are at the border of the bottom one-third of their historic queue of values. The slipping current index, [...]
- Global| Apr 18 2016
Portuguese PPI Prices Show Some Sharp Weakness
Inflation reports continue to be weak globally. Markets don't really focus on the PPI reports as much especially because they tend to be so dominated by commodities prices which have been so weak. But monetary authorities are looking [...]
- Global| Apr 15 2016
Euro Area Trade Shows a Demand Uptick!
Some distinct divergent trends are starting to emerge and to be reinforced in EMU trade patterns. The first trend is an old one that exports remain weak and may even be weakening further. This is linked, of course, to manufacturing [...]
- Global| Apr 14 2016
Euro Area Inflation Hovers and Skims Zero
EMU inflation shows prices hovering around unchanged over the past 12 months. Core inflation is close to 1%. Inflation's progress for the headline over six-month and three-month shows a tendency to faster declines over shorter [...]
- Global| Apr 13 2016
Euro Area IP Falls After January Spurt... and Remains on Growth Path
Awfully good results for a flawed pattern of growth February industrial output has fallen and is lower in two of the last three months with measurable positive gains in only four of the last 12 months and with manufacturing output [...]
- Global| Apr 12 2016
Progress on Reducing Price Level Divergence within EMU
While there is a great deal of focus on what stimulus the ECB can provide or how much a weak euro will stimulate EMU area growth, one factor that should be helping to spur growth in the EMU is the reduction of price level divergence [...]
- Global| Apr 11 2016
Let Sleeping Dogs LEI or Wake Them and Let Them Bark?
The OECD headline index has been below 100 for six straight months and it had cultivated comparison with the Sherlock Holmes episode in which the dog `did not bark.' The LEIs are watchdogs of a sort and they are supposed to signal a [...]
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