U.S. retail sales last month rose 0.2% after the 0.7% September increase which revised up slightly. The gain matched expectations and the prior month's 0.7% was revised up slightly. Excluding autos, sales rose 0.2% and the prior [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Nov 14 2007U.S. Retail Sales About As Expected
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 14 2007U.S. PPI Total & Core Weak
Finished producer prices ticked up just 0.1% during October following the firm 1.1% rise during September. The gain was the smallest since June and was slightly less than Consensus expectations for a 0.3% rise. Nevertheless, it lifted [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 14 2007U.S. PPI Total & Core Weak
Finished producer prices ticked up just 0.1% during October following the firm 1.1% rise during September. The gain was the smallest since June and was slightly less than Consensus expectations for a 0.3% rise. Nevertheless, it lifted [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 13 2007U.S. Chain Store Sales Eased
Chain store sales last week eased 0.5% and reversed half of the gain earlier in November, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS. For both weeks this month, sales were up a small 0.2% from the October [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 13 2007Small Business Optimism Held Low, Credit Problems Eased
Small business optimism rose by 1.1% last month and reversed all of its September increase. Nevertheless, the level remained near the lows of this past Summer, according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB). [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 13 2007Small Business Optimism Held Low, Credit Problems Eased
Small business optimism rose by 1.1% last month and reversed all of its September increase. Nevertheless, the level remained near the lows of this past Summer, according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB). [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 12 2007Commodity Prices: Oil Up, Most Other Inflation Forces Topped
The headline commodity price worry is the rise in oil and energy prices: 57.2% for WTI and 28.7% for gasoline since the beginning of the year. And gasoline prices look to be headed higher while rubber prices have soared 62.8% this [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 12 2007Commodity Prices: Oil Up, Most Other Inflation Forces Topped
The headline commodity price worry is the rise in oil and energy prices: 57.2% for WTI and 28.7% for gasoline since the beginning of the year. And gasoline prices look to be headed higher while rubber prices have soared 62.8% this [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 09 2007U.S. Import Price Inflation Heated Up
U.S. import prices during October surged 1.8%, the largest one month gain since May of last year, as petroleum prices jumped. Consensus expectations had been for a 1.1% increase. Prices of petroleum products rose jumped 6.9% as Brent [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 09 2007U.S. September Trade Deficit Smallest Since 2005
The September U.S. foreign trade deficit fell to $56.5B, the smallest since May 2005. The deficit for August was revised shallower from the initial report and the latest figure was a surprise to Consensus expectations for a deeper [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 09 2007U.S. September Trade Deficit Smallest Since 2005
The September U.S. foreign trade deficit fell to $56.5B, the smallest since May 2005. The deficit for August was revised shallower from the initial report and the latest figure was a surprise to Consensus expectations for a deeper [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 08 2007U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Drop
Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell further last week to 317,000 from 330,000 during the week prior. It was third consecutive weekly decline and to the lowest level since early last month. The prior week's level was revised [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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