Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Nov 20 2007

  U.S. Housing Starts Total Up Unexpectedly; Single Family & Permits Down

  Overall, good weather helped housing starts to post a surprising 3.0% m/m gain in October to 1.229M units. Consensus expectations had been for little change at 1.20M starts and the prior month's level was little revised. The surprise [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 19 2007

  U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index Stable At Record Low

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) at 19 in November remained stable, near record lows, m/m versus the downwardly revised level of the prior month. The index rose very slightly [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 19 2007

  U.S. Empire State Index Off Modestly, Expectations Plummet

  The index of manufacturing activity in New York State for November fell modestly to 27.37 from 28.75 last month which was its highest level in three years. The figures are reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Since the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 19 2007

  U.S. Empire State Index Off Modestly, Expectations Plummet

  The index of manufacturing activity in New York State for November fell modestly to 27.37 from 28.75 last month which was its highest level in three years. The figures are reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Since the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 16 2007

  U.S. Business Inventories' Increase Moderate

  Total business inventories rose a moderate 0.4% during September following the prior month's 0.3% gain. The three month change in inventories remained stable with the prior few months, up from earlier this year but half the growth [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 16 2007

  U.S. Industrial Production Decline Broad and Unexpected

  Industrial production declined during October versus a Consensus expectation for a 0.1% uptick. The decline was the first since January and it was the largest m/m in two years. Because of modest 0.2% gains during the prior two months [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 16 2007

  U.S. Industrial Production Decline Broad and Unexpected

  Industrial production declined during October versus a Consensus expectation for a 0.1% uptick. The decline was the first since January and it was the largest m/m in two years. Because of modest 0.2% gains during the prior two months [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 15 2007

  Philadelphia Fed Index Recovered Slightly

  The November Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector recovered just a piece of its October decline. The rise to 8.2 followed a sharp October decline to 6.8 from 10.9 in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 15 2007

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Jump

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance jumped 20,000 last week to 339,000 from 319,000 during the week prior. The latest was the highest level in four weeks and the prior week's figure was upwardly revised. A claims level of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 15 2007

  U.S. CPI Rise of 0.3% As-expected, 0.2% Core Also In Line

  The consumer price index (CPI-U) rose an expected 0.3% last month and matched the prior month's swift increase. Rising to 3.5%, the y/y rise also was the quickest in just over one year. Core consumer price inflation held stable at an [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 15 2007

  U.S. CPI Rise of 0.3% As-expected, 0.2% Core Also In Line

  The consumer price index (CPI-U) rose an expected 0.3% last month and matched the prior month's swift increase. Rising to 3.5%, the y/y rise also was the quickest in just over one year. Core consumer price inflation held stable at an [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 14 2007

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Stabilize

  The National Association of Realtors reported that for September, level of pending home sales held steady at the August level. That level was, however, still down 20.4% from one year earlier and 24.4% year to date. The latest monthly [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief