U.K. GDP slowed in Q4 2014, rising by 0.5% after having gained 0.7% in the previous quarter. The U.K. office for National Statistics reports gains of 0.8% in services and of 1.3% in agriculture, against a slippage of 1.8% in [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.
Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Jan 27 2015U.K. GDP Slows in Q4 but Finishes a Strong Year
- Global| Jan 26 2015
The Gathering Euro-Storm
The chart shows the steady march of the German Ifo indices even in the context of the business cycle and its aftermath. There was a large Ifo index drop in recession followed by recovery. There was a second down draft, much milder [...]
- Global| Jan 23 2015
EMU PMI: Best in Four Months...Still Not Very Good
While the EMU flash-gauges rose in January from their December values, Germany saw manufacturing deteriorate while France saw deterioration month-to-month overall and in services. Despite the month's for EMU pickup- for the euro area [...]
- Global| Jan 22 2015
Italian Orders Drop in November
Italian industrial orders fell unexpectedly in November even as orders from abroad rose. Italian domestic orders fell sharply by 3.9% in November, overpowering a 2.9% rise in foreign orders to drive the overall orders total lower by [...]
- Global| Jan 21 2015
Japanese Sector Performance Leaves Little Room for Optimism
Japan's sector indices were less weak than expected. Japan's LEI was revised higher, mitigating the adverse signal from its monthly drop. But on balance there is little good news here apart from the bad news not being worse. The [...]
- Global| Jan 20 2015
German ZEW Assessment Bounces Back
The ZEW financial experts contributing to the responses in the ZEW index are upbeat in January. The current index has jumped to 41.2 this month from 32.4 in December; it is stronger only 15% of the time. Since January 1994, the [...]
- Global| Jan 16 2015
EMU Car Registrations Weaken in December but Mark Calendar Year Gain
EMU car registrations fell in December on the back of a decline in November. While that is not a strong ending to the year, 2014 was the first year since 2009 that calendar year car registrations rose in the EMU. Sales rose by 3.6% [...]
- Global| Jan 15 2015
Record Surplus in EMU as Euro Slides
Weak growth and a sharply falling currency have driven the EMU to its largest trade surplus on record. Clearly trade is not driving the currency but macroeconomic needs and the currency are driving trade results and deficits. The [...]
- Global| Jan 14 2015
EMU Inflation Burrows Lower across the Board
As we peruse the incoming data, we see new inflation reporters and a new EMU index for industrial production. EMU-wide inflation is still falling and negative year over year. While industrial output is still on a big broad decline, [...]
- Global| Jan 13 2015
Italy Shows Solid IP Gain in November but Weakness Lingers
The euro area seemed to show some signs of improved life in November. Italy, reporting its IP later than most EMU members, has joined the party. Still, Italian production trends remain weak. The chart shows year-over-year trends for [...]
- Global| Jan 12 2015
OECD LEIs Move Sideways...for Now
The main message from the OECD LEIs in November is that not much is changing. The indicators for the OECD region, the U.S., the U.K., the EMU and China are little-changed and clustered around the neutral reading of 100. Japan and [...]
- Global| Jan 09 2015
European Industrial Production Shows Very Mixed Trends
Of the eight early reporting EMU nations, three show output drops in November with Finland's output flat. However, over three months, there is still solid to strong output gains from this group of countries. Industrial output in the [...]
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