GfK projects a new high reading for Germany's consumer climate for March. Climate is expected to improve to 9.7 in March from 9.3 in February. The lagging components for economic and income expectations as well as for buying climate [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.

Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Feb 26 2015German Climate to Reach New High in March
Global| Feb 25 2015French Confidence Takes the High Road (From a Low Start)
French household confidence moved higher to 92 in February from 90 in January, a nice two-point rise. At 92, French confidence was last at that level in May 2012 and last higher (for one brief reading) in November 2010. Confidence was [...]
Global| Feb 24 2015Changing Trends for Euro-Inflation and Austerity
HICP inflation has finalized for the EMU and prices fell by 0.6% over the last 12 months on balance, a significant short fall from a target rate of `just under 2%.' Note that a comparable miss on the upside would have inflation at [...]
Global| Feb 23 2015German Ifo Limps Ahead
The Markit flash PMI data showed some strength in the EMU but less of it is in France and Germany with the services sector leading the way in both nations. The German Ifo shows much the same situation, agreeing with Markit, with [...]
Global| Feb 20 2015EMU Recovery Strengthens: Builds on Domestic Conditions
The chart tells a clear story of what is going on in the EMU. The domestically oriented services portion of the economy is engaged in a rapid recovery and closing in on its cycle high reading, but the manufacturing sector in the EMU [...]
Global| Feb 19 2015Forget April, Deflation in Paris, Chaos in Greece; Deflation Runs the Table on Early EMU HICP Reporters
Inflation is gone. Deflation has come. It's no Saturday Night Live `land shark' skit and it's too late to just not open the door. Year over year prices are lower by 2.7% in Greece and by 1.4% in Spain: these are real drops. Finland [...]
Global| Feb 18 2015U.K. Claimants Continue to Drop
U.K. claimant count paints a wonderful ongoing recovery picture of the economy. The number of claimants and their associated rate of unemployment surged higher in the financial crisis/recession and have since swooped lower to register [...]
Global| Feb 17 2015ZEW Expectations Back on Top: Best in One Year
The ZEW financial experts' expectations index is back at its highest level in 12 months. Its percentile standing shows it is higher about 28% of the time while the current index, which advanced strongly to 45.5 from 22.4, is higher [...]
Global| Feb 13 2015EMU GDP Story: A Fairy Tale Turned to Horror Story
Once upon a time a considerable time ago, there was a far off land called Europe that decided to form a more perfect union, but a still a less-than-perfect union, and blend its data together using an average weighted by GDP and [...]
Global| Feb 12 2015EMU IP Struggles- Are We All Roiled by Oil?
In the EMU we see a great deal of variation in output by country and now we can see the EMU by sector performance. EMU IP (industrial production) less construction is flat in December and manufacturing output is flat as well. Year- [...]
Global| Feb 11 2015French Trade Trends Show Progress
French trade and current account trends are showing progress despite the step back into deficit for France's current account in December. The December current account deficit is still 1.9 billion euros, smaller than it was one year [...]
Global| Feb 10 2015European IP Recovery Shifts to the Core in December
European industrial output rose in the core EMU countries in December with Germany, France and Italy, the three largest EMU economies showing output gains. Germany and Italy have posted three consecutive monthly gains while France is [...]
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