Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jan 27 2006

  US 4Q GDP Weak Due To Lower Autos & Lower Defense

  US real GDP growth last quarter weakened to the slowest in over four years. Even when the 1.1% advance is combined with 3Q, the 2.6% average gain was the weakest since early 2003 and fell short of Consensus expectations for a 2.8% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 27 2006

  US 4Q GDP Weak Due To Lower Autos & Lower Defense

  US real GDP growth last quarter weakened to the slowest in over four years. Even when the 1.1% advance is combined with 3Q, the 2.6% average gain was the weakest since early 2003 and fell short of Consensus expectations for a 2.8% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 26 2006

  Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Up A Bit

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance ticked 11,000 higher to 283,000 following a little revised 36,000 decline the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for 305,000 claims. During the last ten years there has been a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 26 2006

  U.S. Durable Goods Orders Recover

  Orders for durable goods in December rose 1.3% following an upwardly revised 5.4% increase in November. The rise about matched Consensus expectations for a 1.0% gain, however, the details of the report painted a more constructive [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 26 2006

  U.S. Durable Goods Orders Recover

  Orders for durable goods in December rose 1.3% following an upwardly revised 5.4% increase in November. The rise about matched Consensus expectations for a 1.0% gain, however, the details of the report painted a more constructive [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 25 2006

  December Existing Home Sales Fell, 2006 Price Gain Weakest on Record

  Sales of existing homes fell 0.8% to 6.220M last month after two consecutive months of slight gain. Sales remained down 14.4% from the peak during June of 2005 and during all of last year sales fell 8.0% from the 2005 average. Sales [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 25 2006

  December Existing Home Sales Fell, 2006 Price Gain Weakest on Record

  Sales of existing homes fell 0.8% to 6.220M last month after two consecutive months of slight gain. Sales remained down 14.4% from the peak during June of 2005 and during all of last year sales fell 8.0% from the 2005 average. Sales [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 25 2006

  Mass Layoffs Jumped in December

  Mass layoffs jumped 8.5% in December following a like rise during November. The latest was the highest level since January of 2005. For the year, the number of mass layoffs fell by 1.4%. During the last ten years there has been a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 25 2006

  Chicago Fed Nat'l Activity Index Down

  The National Activity Index (CFNAI) compiled by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago fell sharply in December to 0.08 from 0.59 in November but the three-month moving average of the CFNAI rose to 0.55, the highest level since April [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 25 2006

  Mortgage Applications Up As Interest Rates Remain Down

  The total number of mortgage applications rose 7.7% last week for the third consecutive weekly gain. For the month of January mortgage applications are 5.1% higher than during December. The effective interest rate on a conventional [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 25 2006

  NAHB Housing Market Index Stable at Low Level

  The National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) Composite Housing Market Index remained stable, but depressed, in January at 57; the lowest level since April 2003. During the last twenty years the y/y change in the annual composite [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 25 2006

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Fell A Third Month

  According to the National Association of Realtors, total existing home sales fell 5.7% m/m to 6.600M (AR) in December from November which was revised down slightly. Consensus expectations for sales last month had been for a lesser [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief