For January, the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) reported that the Composite Index of activity in the manufacturing sector eased to 54.8 from an upwardly revised level of 55.6 in December. It was the third consecutive monthly [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Feb 01 2006ISM Index Eased
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 31 2006
Fed Funds Rate Increased to 4.50%
At today's meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, the target interest rate for Federal funds was raised 25 basis points to 4.50%, the fourteenth increase since June of 2004. The unanimous decision was widely expected by [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 31 2006
Consumer Confidence Up: Jobs Plentiful, Inflation Stable
The Index of Consumer Confidence, as measured by the Conference Board, rose 2.4% to 106.3 during January. This third consecutive monthly increase exceeded Consensus expectations for a lesser gain to 105.0. The increase was in line [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 31 2006
Chain Store Sales Lower, Gasoline Prices Up
Chain store sales fell a hard 1.1% last week after the modest 0.3% rise during the prior period, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The drop lowered the gain in sales during January to 1.0% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 31 2006
Employment Cost Index Steady Last Quarter, Down During '05
For private industry workers, the employment cost index rose a steady 0.8% last quarter. The increases during the last two quarters were up from 0.6% gains during 1Q & 2Q but they were off the 1.0% average of the prior two years. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 31 2006
Fed Funds Rate Increased to 4.50%
At today's meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, the target interest rate for Federal funds was raised 25 basis points to 4.50%, the fourteenth increase since June of 2004. The unanimous decision was widely expected by [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 30 2006
U.S. Personal Income & Spending Firm
Personal income rose an expected 0.4% last month following an upwardly revised like increase in November. For the full year personal income rose 5.4% which together with the 5.9% increase in 2004 was the strongest two year rise since [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 30 2006
U.S. Personal Income & Spending Firm
Personal income rose an expected 0.4% last month following an upwardly revised like increase in November. For the full year personal income rose 5.4% which together with the 5.9% increase in 2004 was the strongest two year rise since [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 30 2006
U.S. Personal Income & Spending Firm
Personal income rose an expected 0.4% last month following an upwardly revised like increase in November. For the full year personal income rose 5.4% which together with the 5.9% increase in 2004 was the strongest two year rise since [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 27 2006
New Home Sales Finished a Record 2005 Firm, Prices Soft
December new single-family home sales increased 2.9% to 1.269M after a 9.2% November decline that was less than initially estimated. Consensus expectations had been for a decline to 1.225M. For the year, new home sales set a new [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 27 2006
US 4Q GDP Weak Due To Lower Autos & Lower Defense
US real GDP growth last quarter weakened to the slowest in over four years. Even when the 1.1% advance is combined with 3Q, the 2.6% average gain was the weakest since early 2003 and fell short of Consensus expectations for a 2.8% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 27 2006
US 4Q GDP Weak Due To Lower Autos & Lower Defense
US real GDP growth last quarter weakened to the slowest in over four years. Even when the 1.1% advance is combined with 3Q, the 2.6% average gain was the weakest since early 2003 and fell short of Consensus expectations for a 2.8% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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