Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Feb 02 2006

  Fleet Purchases Raised U.S. Vehicle Sales in January

  The Autodata Corporation reported that in January, US light vehicle sales rose 2.7% from December to 17.64M units. Consensus expectations had been for a decline to 16.3M. The surprise stemmed from a 25.7% (23.9% y/y) rise in sales of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 02 2006

  Fleet Purchases Raised U.S. Vehicle Sales in January

  The Autodata Corporation reported that in January, US light vehicle sales rose 2.7% from December to 17.64M units. Consensus expectations had been for a decline to 16.3M. The surprise stemmed from a 25.7% (23.9% y/y) rise in sales of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 01 2006

  Mortgage Applications' Rebound Cut Short

  During the last week of January, the total number of mortgage applications reversed most of the prior week's increase with a 5.1% decline. Nevertheless, because of increases during the first three weeks of the month, mortgage [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 01 2006

  U.S. Construction Increase Firm

  The value of construction put in place increased a firm 1.0% in December, double the upwardly revised November rise. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.2% gain. Residential building rose a sharp 1.0% following little change in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 01 2006

  ISM Index Eased

  For January, the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) reported that the Composite Index of activity in the manufacturing sector eased to 54.8 from an upwardly revised level of 55.6 in December. It was the third consecutive monthly [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 01 2006

  ISM Index Eased

  For January, the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) reported that the Composite Index of activity in the manufacturing sector eased to 54.8 from an upwardly revised level of 55.6 in December. It was the third consecutive monthly [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 31 2006

  Fed Funds Rate Increased to 4.50%

  At today's meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, the target interest rate for Federal funds was raised 25 basis points to 4.50%, the fourteenth increase since June of 2004. The unanimous decision was widely expected by [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 31 2006

  Consumer Confidence Up: Jobs Plentiful, Inflation Stable

  The Index of Consumer Confidence, as measured by the Conference Board, rose 2.4% to 106.3 during January. This third consecutive monthly increase exceeded Consensus expectations for a lesser gain to 105.0. The increase was in line [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 31 2006

  Chain Store Sales Lower, Gasoline Prices Up

  Chain store sales fell a hard 1.1% last week after the modest 0.3% rise during the prior period, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The drop lowered the gain in sales during January to 1.0% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 31 2006

  Employment Cost Index Steady Last Quarter, Down During '05

  For private industry workers, the employment cost index rose a steady 0.8% last quarter. The increases during the last two quarters were up from 0.6% gains during 1Q & 2Q but they were off the 1.0% average of the prior two years. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 31 2006

  Fed Funds Rate Increased to 4.50%

  At today's meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, the target interest rate for Federal funds was raised 25 basis points to 4.50%, the fourteenth increase since June of 2004. The unanimous decision was widely expected by [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 30 2006

  U.S. Personal Income & Spending Firm

  Personal income rose an expected 0.4% last month following an upwardly revised like increase in November. For the full year personal income rose 5.4% which together with the 5.9% increase in 2004 was the strongest two year rise since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief