Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Feb 03 2006

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Slipped Late in January

  The University of Michigan reported that consumer sentiment for all of January fell a slight 0.3% from December to 91.2. The decline was due to a fall late in the month and compared to an initial read of 93.4. Consensus expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 03 2006

  ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Fell

  The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that the Business Activity Index for the non-manufacturing sector fell last month to 56.8 from an upwardly revised 61.0 in December. A reading above 50 indicates expansion. The latest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 03 2006

  U.S. Payrolls Just Below Expectations, Jobless Rate Lowest Since 2001

  In January, non-farm payrolls rose 193,000 following a December increase revised to 140,000 from the 108,000 reported last month. In addition, the November increase was revised up further 354,000 from last month's reported 305,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 03 2006

  U.S. Payrolls Just Below Expectations, Jobless Rate Lowest Since 2001

  In January, non-farm payrolls rose 193,000 following a December increase revised to 140,000 from the 108,000 reported last month. In addition, the November increase was revised up further 354,000 from last month's reported 305,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 02 2006

  Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Fell

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance reversed the prior week's little revised gain and fell 11,000 to 273,000. Consensus expectations had been for an increase to 295,000 claims. During the last ten years there has been a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 02 2006

  Challenger Layoffs Retreated

  Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that January job cut announcements reversed about half of the rise in December and fell 4.0% to 103,466. Like the December report, one industry dominated the monthly total. Auto industry layoff [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 02 2006

  U.S. Productivity Fell During 4Q '05

  Non-farm labor productivity fell last quarter after a revised 4.5% increase during 3Q. It was the first decline in output per hour since 1Q '01 and followed an average gain of 3.7% during the prior ten quarters. Consensus expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 02 2006

  Fleet Purchases Raised U.S. Vehicle Sales in January

  The Autodata Corporation reported that in January, US light vehicle sales rose 2.7% from December to 17.64M units. Consensus expectations had been for a decline to 16.3M. The surprise stemmed from a 25.7% (23.9% y/y) rise in sales of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 02 2006

  Fleet Purchases Raised U.S. Vehicle Sales in January

  The Autodata Corporation reported that in January, US light vehicle sales rose 2.7% from December to 17.64M units. Consensus expectations had been for a decline to 16.3M. The surprise stemmed from a 25.7% (23.9% y/y) rise in sales of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 01 2006

  Mortgage Applications' Rebound Cut Short

  During the last week of January, the total number of mortgage applications reversed most of the prior week's increase with a 5.1% decline. Nevertheless, because of increases during the first three weeks of the month, mortgage [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 01 2006

  U.S. Construction Increase Firm

  The value of construction put in place increased a firm 1.0% in December, double the upwardly revised November rise. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.2% gain. Residential building rose a sharp 1.0% following little change in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 01 2006

  ISM Index Eased

  For January, the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) reported that the Composite Index of activity in the manufacturing sector eased to 54.8 from an upwardly revised level of 55.6 in December. It was the third consecutive monthly [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief