Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jan 24 2006

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Rose, Signs of Excess Surfaced

  The composite index of leading economic indicators increased 0.3% last month after a downwardly revised no change during November, according to the Conference Board. October's gain also was revised away to a minus 0.1%. Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 24 2006

  Chain Store Sales Edged Up, With Gasoline Prices

  Chain store sales edged 0.3% higher last week following the sharp 1.4% drop during the prior period, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The increase left sales in January 1.3% ahead of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 24 2006

  Chain Store Sales Edged Up, With Gasoline Prices

  Chain store sales edged 0.3% higher last week following the sharp 1.4% drop during the prior period, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The increase left sales in January 1.3% ahead of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 23 2006

  Energy Prices Mixed

  Crude oil prices strengthened last week on market worry that supplies from Iran could be disrupted. Iran produces roughly 4 million barrels of crude oil per day, a bit more than 15% of the OPEC's total and about 6% of the world's [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 23 2006

  Leading Economic Indicators' Gain Light

  The Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators from the Conference Board rose 0.1% last month following an upwardly revised 0.9% November increase. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.2% gain. The breadth of one month gain [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 23 2006

  Leading Economic Indicators' Gain Light

  The Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators from the Conference Board rose 0.1% last month following an upwardly revised 0.9% November increase. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.2% gain. The breadth of one month gain [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 20 2006

  Second Mortgages

  Worry that some potential bursting of the "bubble" in housing market valuations at least in part rests on the idea that homeowners are borrowing against those "inflated" values to support current spending. In fact, real spending [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 20 2006

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Rose Further

  The University of Michigan reported that consumer sentiment in January rose another 2.1% to 93.4. The rise was the third off the October low which has totaled 25.9% and the gain surpassed Consensus expectations for an increase to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 20 2006

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Rose Further

  The University of Michigan reported that consumer sentiment in January rose another 2.1% to 93.4. The rise was the third off the October low which has totaled 25.9% and the gain surpassed Consensus expectations for an increase to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 19 2006

  Philadelphia Fed Business Activity Off Sharply

  The Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector for January from the Philadelphia Fed fell sharply to 3.3 from 10.9 in December. Consensus expectations had been for improvement to 13.1. It was the lowest level for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 19 2006

  Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Dropped Sharply

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance dropped 36,000 to 271,000 last week following a downwardly revised 15,000 increase the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for 315,000 claims. The latest figure covers the survey [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 19 2006

  Housing Starts Fell To Lowest Level Since March

  Housing starts slumped 8.0% m/m last month to 1.933M units following a little revised 3.4% increase in November. The decline was to the lowest level since March but did not prevent starts for all of 2005 from rising 6.0% to a record [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief