Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 06 2006

  Commodity Prices Strong - Except Natural Gas

  Crude oil prices have been quite strong of late. On Friday, spot WTI crude stood at $63.68 per barrel. Still down slightly from the early year highs near $68, prices have recovered from below $58.00 just two weeks ago. That strength [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 06 2006

  Commodity Prices Strong - Except Natural Gas

  Crude oil prices have been quite strong of late. On Friday, spot WTI crude stood at $63.68 per barrel. Still down slightly from the early year highs near $68, prices have recovered from below $58.00 just two weeks ago. That strength [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 03 2006

  ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Recovered

  The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that the February Business Activity Index for the non-manufacturing sector recovered most of the prior month's loss with a 3.3 point advance to 60.1. A reading above 50 indicates [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 03 2006

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Fell Throughout February

  According to the University of Michigan, consumer sentiment fell throughout February, as indicated by a decline in the final month reading to 86.7 from the preliminary estimate of 87.4. Month to month, sentiment fell 4.9% and the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 03 2006

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Fell Throughout February

  According to the University of Michigan, consumer sentiment fell throughout February, as indicated by a decline in the final month reading to 86.7 from the preliminary estimate of 87.4. Month to month, sentiment fell 4.9% and the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 02 2006

  Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Ticked Higher

  Initial unemployment insurance claims last week reversed most of the prior week's revised decline and rose 15,000 to 294,000. Consensus expectations had been for 285,000 claims. During the last ten years there has been a (negative) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 02 2006

  Challenger Layoffs Down Sharply

  Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that job cut announcements during February fell 15.5% (-19.3% y/y) to 87,437, the lowest level since October. Layoffs in the auto industry fell sharply from the heated January pace but still were [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 02 2006

  U.S. Construction Increase Light

  Warm temperatures in January did little for the value of construction put in place which increased just 0.2%. Consensus expectations had been for a 1.1% gain but the firm 1.0% advance in December was unrevised. Residential building [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 02 2006

  U.S. Vehicle Sales Down in February

  US light vehicle sales in February retraced all of the January gain and fell 5.8% to 16.61M units, the lowest level since November according to the Autodata Corporation. The decline about matched Consensus expectations for a 16.5M [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 02 2006

  U.S. Vehicle Sales Down in February

  US light vehicle sales in February retraced all of the January gain and fell 5.8% to 16.61M units, the lowest level since November according to the Autodata Corporation. The decline about matched Consensus expectations for a 16.5M [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 01 2006

  Rumors of Home Prices' Demise Exaggerated

  According to the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO), U.S. home prices rose last quarter at roughly the same rate as during the prior two years. The 2.9% q/q rise certainly was down from the upwardly revised 3.1% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 01 2006

  Mortgage Applications Off Sharply

  The total number of mortgage applications dropped 1.2% last week, the fourth sharp decline in the last five weeks. The average level of applications during February fell 6.3% from the prior month. Purchase applications dropped 1.9% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief