Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics

Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

  • Durable goods orders plunged 10.2% last month following an upwardly revised 2.5% increase during December. The drop far outpaced Consensus expectations for a 2.0% decline, however, the details of the report again portrayed a [...]

  • Mass layoffs in January reversed all of the prior month's revised increase and fell 27.5%. The decline in the number of mass layoff events was to the lowest level since October, 2000. During the last ten years there has been a [...]

  • The Index of Help-Wanted Advertising from the Conference Board fell to 37 from a revised level of 38 in December. The decline was to the lower end of a range between 37 and 40 in place since the Spring of last year. During the last [...]

  • Initial unemployment insurance claims for dropped 20,000 to 278,000 last week. The decline reversed all of the prior week's increase which was slightly revised. Consensus expectations had been for 298,000 claims. The latest figure [...]

  • Initial unemployment insurance claims for dropped 20,000 to 278,000 last week. The decline reversed all of the prior week's increase which was slightly revised. Consensus expectations had been for 298,000 claims. The latest figure [...]

  • Chain store sales last week recovered half of the prior period's drop with a 0.2% advance, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. Because a sharp 2.0% jump during the opening week of the month, [...]

  • The total number of mortgage applications inched 0.8% last week after three consecutive weeks of sharp decline. The average level of applications this month is down 5.6% from January. Purchase applications recovered 4.3% following [...]

  • Global| Feb 22 2006

    CPI Lifted By Energy & Food

    The 0.7% gain in the January consumer price index (CPI-U) was the strongest for any month since last September and lifted the y/y gain to a firm 4.0%. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.5% m/m rise. Energy prices ballooned 5.0% [...]

  • Global| Feb 22 2006

    CPI Lifted By Energy & Food

    The 0.7% gain in the January consumer price index (CPI-U) was the strongest for any month since last September and lifted the y/y gain to a firm 4.0%. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.5% m/m rise. Energy prices ballooned 5.0% [...]

  • The composite index of leading economic indicators ticked up 0.1% last month after an upwardly revised 0.6% gain during December which was initially pegged at 0.3%, according to the Conference Board. The uptick fell short of Consensus [...]

  • The composite index of leading economic indicators ticked up 0.1% last month after an upwardly revised 0.6% gain during December which was initially pegged at 0.3%, according to the Conference Board. The uptick fell short of Consensus [...]

  • The weekly leading index of the US economy published by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) slipped during the last three weeks after picking up considerable momentum in early January. The index declined 0.9% last week after [...]