Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 10 2006

  U.S. Payrolls Advance

  Non-farm payrolls rose 243,000 last month following a downwardly revised 170,000 increase during January that was initially reported at 193,000. Consensus expectations had been for a 210,000 increase during February. From the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 10 2006

  U.S. Payrolls Advance

  Non-farm payrolls rose 243,000 last month following a downwardly revised 170,000 increase during January that was initially reported at 193,000. Consensus expectations had been for a 210,000 increase during February. From the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 09 2006

  4Q Debt Fueled By Government Budget Deficit, 2005 By the Consumer

  Growth in total credit market debt outstanding surged 11.4% (AR) last quarter. Faster growth rates often occur during 4Q but that was the quickest since 2002. The acceleration from 3Q was due to a jump in Federal Government borrowing [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 09 2006

  Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Highest in Two Months

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose 8,000 to 303,000 to the highest level since early January while the prior week's level was revised up slightly. Consensus expectations had been for a decline to 290,000 claims. During the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 09 2006

  U.S. Trade Deficit Surged Due to Higher Imports

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit surged during January to $68.5B, another record, and far exceeded Consensus expectations for a deficit of $66.5B. The December deficit in goods & services trade was revised slightly lower to $65.1B. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 09 2006

  U.S. Trade Deficit Surged Due to Higher Imports

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit surged during January to $68.5B, another record, and far exceeded Consensus expectations for a deficit of $66.5B. The December deficit in goods & services trade was revised slightly lower to $65.1B. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 08 2006

  Mortgage Applications Ticked Up But Interest Rates Jumped

  During early March the total number of mortgage applications recovered barely half of the prior week's decline. The 0.7% increase followed a 1.2% drop the prior week and left March's opening level 1.8% below the February average which [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 08 2006

  Mortgage Applications Ticked Up But Interest Rates Jumped

  During early March the total number of mortgage applications recovered barely half of the prior week's decline. The 0.7% increase followed a 1.2% drop the prior week and left March's opening level 1.8% below the February average which [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2006

  Chain Store Sales Higher Again

  Chain store sales added 0.2% during the opening week of March to the 1.5% surge during the prior period, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The gain lifted the level of sales in early March [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2006

  Decline in 4Q U.S. Productivity Little Revised

  For 4Q '05, the decline in non-farm labor productivity was little revised at -0.5% versus the initial estimate of a 0.6% fall. It was the first decline in output per hour since 1Q '01 and followed an average gain of 3.7% during the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2006

  Decline in 4Q U.S. Productivity Little Revised

  For 4Q '05, the decline in non-farm labor productivity was little revised at -0.5% versus the initial estimate of a 0.6% fall. It was the first decline in output per hour since 1Q '01 and followed an average gain of 3.7% during the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 06 2006

  U.S. Factory Inventories Up, Orders Drop Belies Factory Strength

  Factory inventories grew 0.5% in January following an upwardly revised 0.6% increase during December. Though the rate of inventory accumulation slowed sharply during the last year, the 3.5% y/y growth contrasts with outright [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief