Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 09 2006

  U.S. Trade Deficit Surged Due to Higher Imports

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit surged during January to $68.5B, another record, and far exceeded Consensus expectations for a deficit of $66.5B. The December deficit in goods & services trade was revised slightly lower to $65.1B. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 09 2006

  U.S. Trade Deficit Surged Due to Higher Imports

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit surged during January to $68.5B, another record, and far exceeded Consensus expectations for a deficit of $66.5B. The December deficit in goods & services trade was revised slightly lower to $65.1B. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 08 2006

  Mortgage Applications Ticked Up But Interest Rates Jumped

  During early March the total number of mortgage applications recovered barely half of the prior week's decline. The 0.7% increase followed a 1.2% drop the prior week and left March's opening level 1.8% below the February average which [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 08 2006

  Mortgage Applications Ticked Up But Interest Rates Jumped

  During early March the total number of mortgage applications recovered barely half of the prior week's decline. The 0.7% increase followed a 1.2% drop the prior week and left March's opening level 1.8% below the February average which [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2006

  Chain Store Sales Higher Again

  Chain store sales added 0.2% during the opening week of March to the 1.5% surge during the prior period, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The gain lifted the level of sales in early March [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2006

  Decline in 4Q U.S. Productivity Little Revised

  For 4Q '05, the decline in non-farm labor productivity was little revised at -0.5% versus the initial estimate of a 0.6% fall. It was the first decline in output per hour since 1Q '01 and followed an average gain of 3.7% during the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2006

  Decline in 4Q U.S. Productivity Little Revised

  For 4Q '05, the decline in non-farm labor productivity was little revised at -0.5% versus the initial estimate of a 0.6% fall. It was the first decline in output per hour since 1Q '01 and followed an average gain of 3.7% during the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 06 2006

  U.S. Factory Inventories Up, Orders Drop Belies Factory Strength

  Factory inventories grew 0.5% in January following an upwardly revised 0.6% increase during December. Though the rate of inventory accumulation slowed sharply during the last year, the 3.5% y/y growth contrasts with outright [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 06 2006

  Commodity Prices Strong - Except Natural Gas

  Crude oil prices have been quite strong of late. On Friday, spot WTI crude stood at $63.68 per barrel. Still down slightly from the early year highs near $68, prices have recovered from below $58.00 just two weeks ago. That strength [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 06 2006

  Commodity Prices Strong - Except Natural Gas

  Crude oil prices have been quite strong of late. On Friday, spot WTI crude stood at $63.68 per barrel. Still down slightly from the early year highs near $68, prices have recovered from below $58.00 just two weeks ago. That strength [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 03 2006

  ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Recovered

  The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that the February Business Activity Index for the non-manufacturing sector recovered most of the prior month's loss with a 3.3 point advance to 60.1. A reading above 50 indicates [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 03 2006

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Fell Throughout February

  According to the University of Michigan, consumer sentiment fell throughout February, as indicated by a decline in the final month reading to 86.7 from the preliminary estimate of 87.4. Month to month, sentiment fell 4.9% and the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief