The GfK measure of UK consumer confidence for January plunged by 8 points marking its largest single-month drop since 1994. Confidence now sits at the 27the percentile of its 10Yr range and is only at the 18th percentile of the 10Yr [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.

Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Jan 28 2011UK Plumbs The Downside Of Austerity
Global| Jan 27 2011EU Commission Index Encounters Growth Set-Back
The EU Commission overall index fell in January to 105.8 from 106.1. Among the main gauges only the industrial gauge improved in January. Consumer confidence slipped, retail confidence stumbled badly and the other sectors were [...]
Global| Jan 25 2011German Confidence Ekes Out Gains While Questions Swirl
German confidence continues to edge ahead. In February GfK estimates that it will rise to 5.7 from 5.5. At that level confidence stands in the top 16% of its ordered queue of values and in the 65th percentile of this high-low range. [...]
Global| Jan 24 2011Foreign Orders Continue To Lead Way Higher
Orders in the Euro-Area scooted ahead by 2.1% in November after rising smartly by 1.4% in October. Together the two months still do not restore the ground lost in the 4.2% drop of September. Domestic orders have dropped by about two [...]
Global| Jan 21 2011INSEE's Industry Survey Points Up For France
France sails briskly though troubled euro-waters - INSEE's indicator for the French Industry rose briskly in January. Still, in broad terms the growth rate in the indicator is flattening out as the chart above demonstrates. Solid [...]
Global| Jan 20 2011UK Industrial Orders Sink Surprisingly Fast
UK industrial orders fell off sharply in January and fell unexpectedly. The series have been expected to make a small improvement instead orders plummeted to a net reading of -16 from a net of -3 in December. Orders reside in the 61st [...]
Global| Jan 18 2011German Financial Experts Are Upbeat On Prospects
The German financial experts that respond to the Zew survey are a bit more upbeat this month. The expectations reading jumped quite a number of notches from a December value of 4.3 to a January reading of 15.4. Still, expectations [...]
Global| Jan 13 2011Japan Machinery Orders Disappoint
Japan's machinery orders fell by 8.3% in November as core order slipped by 3% falling for the third month in a row. Domestic orders continued to be very erratic and are weaker at only half the growth for foreign orders over the past [...]
Global| Jan 12 2011Euro-Area IP Surges in November
Tale of two... Euro-Area IP is a tale of two trends. One trends applies to capital goods output which seems strong and firmly ensconced in a still accelerating uptrend. There is euro-optimism for you. The other trend is lower and is [...]
Global| Jan 11 2011Japan LEI Gains Some Traction
Japan's LEI has been gaining some traction. It shows a more complete recovery in gear than does the OECD LEI which has not rebounded as much in the last year or so as the Japanese national gauge. Japan's own LEI gauge shows a recent [...]
Global| Jan 07 2011EMU Does Better Than Expected; Germany Best Of All
German IP fell in November dropping by 0.7% following a surge of 3% in October. While the growth rate is half that for Yr/Yr growth it remains about the same for three months as for six months, and those rates are still fairly strong. [...]
Global| Jan 06 2011EMU Does Better Than Expected; Germany Best Of All
EMU confidence rose in December reaching the 70th percentile in its queue of values and topping its average by over six percentage points. Germany, France, Italy and the UK are the EU members in the table whose overall sentiment [...]
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