The Conference Board's August index of Consumer Confidence posted a 1.9% m/m increase to 105.6 following a 2.4% July decline that was shallower than initially reported. Consensus expectations had been for a decline to 101.4 in [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Aug 30 2005Consumer Confidence Posted Surprising Increase
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 29 2005
ECRI Leading Index Suggests Economic Growth
The leading index of the US economy published weekly by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) stuttered in the last two periods but failed to reverse the sharp improvement in the measure since the low this past May. Since the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 29 2005
ECRI Leading Index Suggests Economic Growth
The leading index of the US economy published weekly by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) stuttered in the last two periods but failed to reverse the sharp improvement in the measure since the low this past May. Since the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 19 2005
Chicago Fed Nat'l Activity Index Suggests Above Trend Growth
The National Activity Index (CFNAI) compiled by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago has improved since the low this past March and suggests that US economic growth has strengthened. Despite a dip in July to 0.16 from 0.40 in June, the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 19 2005
Chicago Fed Nat'l Activity Index Suggests Above Trend Growth
The National Activity Index (CFNAI) compiled by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago has improved since the low this past March and suggests that US economic growth has strengthened. Despite a dip in July to 0.16 from 0.40 in June, the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 18 2005
Philadelphia Fed Index Improved Further
The Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector in August from the Philadelphia Fed added to the prior month's gain and rose to 17.5, the highest level since April. Consensus expectations had been for a lesser [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 18 2005
Leading Indicators Rose Again in July
The Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators reported by the Conference Board rose 0.1% during July following a upwardly revised 1.2% jump in June. Six-month growth in the leaders improved to 2.2%, the best since February. The [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 18 2005
Unemployment Insurance Claims Suggest Positive Job Growth
Initial claims for unemployment insurance increased 6,000 to 316,000 last week and reversed a revised 5,000 decline the week earlier. Consensus expectations had been for 310,000 claims. Despite the increase, initial claims in August [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 18 2005
Philadelphia Fed Index Improved Further
The Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector in August from the Philadelphia Fed added to the prior month's gain and rose to 17.5, the highest level since April. Consensus expectations had been for a lesser [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 18 2005
Philadelphia Fed Index Improved Further
The Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector in August from the Philadelphia Fed added to the prior month's gain and rose to 17.5, the highest level since April. Consensus expectations had been for a lesser [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 17 2005
Mortgage Applications Down With Less Refinancing
Total mortgage applications rose last week for the first time following three consecutive weeks of decline according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. The 2.2% w/w increase nevertheless left applications in August 4.7% below July [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 17 2005
Producer Prices Doubled Expectations
In July a 1.0% rise in the producer price index for finished goods was double Consensus expectations for a 0.5% increase, though it followed no change in prices one month earlier. Also double Consensus expectations was the 0.4% gain [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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