In July a 1.0% rise in the producer price index for finished goods was double Consensus expectations for a 0.5% increase, though it followed no change in prices one month earlier. Also double Consensus expectations was the 0.4% gain [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Aug 17 2005Producer Prices Doubled Expectations
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 16 2005
Chain Store Sales Dipped Again
Chain store sales dipped for the second week according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. A 0.2% w/w decline followed a 0.8% fall during the opening week of August. Sales so far this month are 0.2% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 16 2005
Industrial Production Increase Light
Industrial production increased 0.1% last month following a downwardly revised 0.8% gain in June. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.5% rise. Factory sector output also slowed to half the prior month's gain and rose 0.2% (3.1% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 16 2005
NAHB Housing Market Index Down Sharply in August
The National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) Composite Housing Market Index fell sharply in August to 67 from an unrevised 70 In July. During the last twenty years, annual changes in the composite index had an 85% correlation [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 16 2005
Housing Starts Firm
Housing starts remained firm last month at 2.042M units versus an upwardly revised 2.045M units in June.Consensus expectations had been for a slight decline to 2.025M starts. Single-family starts nudged up 0.5% after a 1.2% decline in [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 16 2005
CPI Lifted By Strong Energy Prices
Consumer prices (CPI-U) rose 0.5% last month following no change in June and a 0.1% decline in May. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.4% July increase. Energy prices jumped 3.8% led by a 6.1% (19.5% y/y) increase in gasoline [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 16 2005
CPI Lifted By Strong Energy Prices
Consumer prices (CPI-U) rose 0.5% last month following no change in June and a 0.1% decline in May. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.4% July increase. Energy prices jumped 3.8% led by a 6.1% (19.5% y/y) increase in gasoline [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 15 2005
Empire State Index Improved, Budget Deficit Estimate Reduced
The Empire State Index of General Business Conditions in New York's manufacturing industries in August remained roughly at the same level as in July. At 23.04 versus 23.92, the two figures were the best back-to-back levels of the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 15 2005
Empire State Index Improved, Budget Deficit Estimate Reduced
The Empire State Index of General Business Conditions in New York's manufacturing industries in August remained roughly at the same level as in July. At 23.04 versus 23.92, the two figures were the best back-to-back levels of the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 12 2005
U.S. Consumer Sentiment Down
In August, the University of Michigan's preliminary reading of consumer sentiment fell unexpectedly versus July by 3.9% to 92.7. Consensus expectations had been for stability m/m. During the last ten years there has been a 74% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 12 2005
Import Prices Recovered
Import prices in July rose 1.1% on top of a like gain one month earlier, the increase quite a bit stronger than Consensus expectations for a 0.6% rise. Petroleum prices jumped 6.6% and in early August Brent crude rose another 8%. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Aug 12 2005
U.S. Trade Deficit Deepened
The U.S. foreign trade deficit deepened more than expected in June to $58.8B versus May's deficit of $55.4 which was little revised. Consensus expectations had been for a deficit of $57.2B. Total exports were unchanged for the second [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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