Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Sep 01 2005

  U.S. Construction Spending Losing Steam

  The value of construction put in place dipped slightly in July following a 0.6% decline in June, although figures for May were revised sharply higher. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.5% increase. Private residential building [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 01 2005

  Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Up a Bit

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose 3,000 last week to 320,000 and reversed the prior week's revised 2,000 decline. Consensus expectations had been for 315,000 claims. The latest figure should have little bearing on [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 01 2005

  ISM Factory Index Backpedaled

  The Composite Index of activity in the manufacturing sector, reported by the Institute of Supply Management, backpedaled three points in August to 53.6 following a like-sized increase in July. The decline outpaced Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 01 2005

  U.S. Personal Income Light, Price Inflation Firmed

  Personal income rose just 0.3% in July following an unrevised 0.5% increase in June. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.5% increase. Combined with a similarly modest gain in May, the three-month growth in income slowed to 4.4% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 01 2005

  U.S. Construction Spending Losing Steam

  The value of construction put in place dipped slightly in July following a 0.6% decline in June, although figures for May were revised sharply higher. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.5% increase. Private residential building [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 31 2005

  Mortgage Applications Down Again

  The total number of mortgage applications fell 4.5% last week and continued the recent decline which has pulled applications 18.5% below the recent peak in early June, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Purchase [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 31 2005

  Chicago Purchasing Agents' Index Down Sharply

  The August Chicago Purchasing Managers Business Barometer reversed all of the prior month's sharp gain with a 14.3 point m/m drop to 49.2 that dropped the index to its lowest in over two years. Consensus expectations had been for just [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 31 2005

  US GDP Growth Little Revised, Profits Quite Firm

  2Q05 US real GDP growth was little revised at 3.3% (AR) as revisions to foreign trade and inventories roughly offset one another. Consensus expectations had been for 3.4% growth. Operating corporate profits rose a firm 6.1% (17.7%) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 31 2005

  US GDP Growth Little Revised, Profits Quite Firm

  2Q05 US real GDP growth was little revised at 3.3% (AR) as revisions to foreign trade and inventories roughly offset one another. Consensus expectations had been for 3.4% growth. Operating corporate profits rose a firm 6.1% (17.7%) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 30 2005

  Chain Store Sales Down With Higher Gas Prices

  Chain store sales fell again according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. Last week's 0.3% decline marked the fourth consecutive weekly skid and dropped the August sales average 0.1% below July which [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 30 2005

  U.S. Factory Inventories Began to Rebuild

  Factory inventories rose 0.5% in July, the most for any one month since February. The rise, however, was very much a function of the 5.9% (19.2% y/y) jump in inventories at petroleum refineries. Nevertheless, less petroleum factory [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 30 2005

  Consumer Confidence Posted Surprising Increase

  The Conference Board's August index of Consumer Confidence posted a 1.9% m/m increase to 105.6 following a 2.4% July decline that was shallower than initially reported. Consensus expectations had been for a decline to 101.4 in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief