Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Oct 12 2006

  Record August U.S. Trade Deficit Swelled By Higher Oil Prices

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit surged to another record in August of $69.9B versus an unrevised $68.0B in July. The figure was materially deeper than Consensus expectations for a shallower deficit of $66.8B. A rise in the per barrel [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 11 2006

  Mortgage Applications Retraced Prior Gain

  According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, the total number of mortgage applications last week retraced about half of the prior period's gain with a 5.5% decline. The decline nevertheless left applications up 1.7% from the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 11 2006

  Lower Gasoline Prices Helped Lift Chain Store Sales

  The retail price for a gallon of regular unleaded gasoline fell for the ninth consecutive week. The nickel decline last week lowered the price to an average $2.26 (-20.6% y/y) and was to the lowest level since February.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 11 2006

  Lower Gasoline Prices Helped Lift Chain Store Sales

  The retail price for a gallon of regular unleaded gasoline fell for the ninth consecutive week. The nickel decline last week lowered the price to an average $2.26 (-20.6% y/y) and was to the lowest level since February.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 10 2006

  Small Business Optimism Recovered, Pricing Pressures Eased

  In September, small business optimism more than recovered the prior month's decline. A 3.6% increase lifted the index to the highest level since April, according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB). During the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 10 2006

  Small Business Optimism Recovered, Pricing Pressures Eased

  In September, small business optimism more than recovered the prior month's decline. A 3.6% increase lifted the index to the highest level since April, according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB). During the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 09 2006

  OECD Leaders: Four Months Down

  The Leading Index of the major 7 OECD economies slipped another 0.1% during August after 0.2% declines during the prior two months, revised slightly shallower from the earlier reports. August was, however, the fourth consecutive month [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 09 2006

  OECD Leaders: Four Months Down

  The Leading Index of the major 7 OECD economies slipped another 0.1% during August after 0.2% declines during the prior two months, revised slightly shallower from the earlier reports. August was, however, the fourth consecutive month [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 06 2006

  Upward Revision Salvages Weak September U.S. Payroll Report

  Nonfarm payrolls last month rose just 51,000. The gain fell well below Consensus expectations for a 121,000 rise and the increase was the slowest since last October, when Hurricane Katrina hit the jobs figures. Salvaging the dim [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 06 2006

  Upward Revision Salvages Weak September U.S. Payroll Report

  Nonfarm payrolls last month rose just 51,000. The gain fell well below Consensus expectations for a 121,000 rise and the increase was the slowest since last October, when Hurricane Katrina hit the jobs figures. Salvaging the dim [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 05 2006

  Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance At Ten Week Low

  Initial claims for jobless insurance dropped 17,000 to 302,000, following the 3,000 decline the prior week which was slightly shallower than initially reported. Consensus expectations had been for 315,000 claims. During the last ten [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 05 2006

  Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance At Ten Week Low

  Initial claims for jobless insurance dropped 17,000 to 302,000, following the 3,000 decline the prior week which was slightly shallower than initially reported. Consensus expectations had been for 315,000 claims. During the last ten [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief