Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Oct 17 2006

  PPI Fell, Core Prices Firm

  The overall producer price index dropped 1.3% last month and by far exceeded Consensus expectations for a 0.3% decline. Lower energy prices pulled down the total but excluding food & energy prices rose 0.6%, an increase that fully [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 17 2006

  PPI Fell, Core Prices Firm

  The overall producer price index dropped 1.3% last month and by far exceeded Consensus expectations for a 0.3% decline. Lower energy prices pulled down the total but excluding food & energy prices rose 0.6%, an increase that fully [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 16 2006

  Higher Receipts Lower U.S. Budget Deficit

  The U.S. federal government's budget deficit for FY 2006 fell to $247.7B following deficits near $300B during 2005 and $400B during 2004. The full year figure compared favorably to the August estimate from the Congressional Budget [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 16 2006

  Empire State Index Highest Since June

  Unexpectedly, the October index of manufacturing activity in New York State improved to its highest level since this past June. The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions rose 9.1 points to 22.92 versus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 16 2006

  Empire State Index Highest Since June

  Unexpectedly, the October index of manufacturing activity in New York State improved to its highest level since this past June. The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions rose 9.1 points to 22.92 versus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 13 2006

  U.S. Business Inventory Accumulation Highest Since 2005

  Total business inventories rose 0.6% in August following an upwardly revised 0.7% July gain. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.5% increase. The gain lifted the y/y rate of business inventory accumulation to its highest (7.7%) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 13 2006

  U.S. Import Prices Down With Oil, All Others Tame

  Total import prices fell 2.1% last month after an unrevised 0.8% August increase. The decline outpaced Consensus expectations for a large 1.5% decline. Prices of petroleum imports plunged 10.3% after a 2.1% August gain. In October, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 13 2006

  U.S. Consumer's Sentiment Buoyant

  The preliminary reading of consumer sentiment in October from the University of Michigan rose 8.1% versus last month to 92.3. That gain doubled September's 4.1% rise and lifted the level to the highest since July of last year. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 13 2006

  Lower Gasoline Prices Dropped U.S. Retail Sales

  Last month US retail sales fell an unexpected 0.4% after a little revised 0.1% August decline. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.2% September rise. The decline, however, was due to a 9.3% drop (-6.3% y/y) in sales at gasoline [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 13 2006

  Lower Gasoline Prices Dropped U.S. Retail Sales

  Last month US retail sales fell an unexpected 0.4% after a little revised 0.1% August decline. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.2% September rise. The decline, however, was due to a 9.3% drop (-6.3% y/y) in sales at gasoline [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 12 2006

  Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Remained Low

  Initial claims for jobless insurance last week recovered just 4,000 of the revised 15,000 drop during the prior period and rose to 308,000. Consensus expectations had been for 311,000 claims. During the last ten years there has been a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 12 2006

  Record August U.S. Trade Deficit Swelled By Higher Oil Prices

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit surged to another record in August of $69.9B versus an unrevised $68.0B in July. The figure was materially deeper than Consensus expectations for a shallower deficit of $66.8B. A rise in the per barrel [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief