Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Oct 20 2006

  Energy & Gold Prices: Whiffs of Reflation?

  At $58.51 yesterday for a barrel of WTI crude oil, the price has stabilized after falling below $60 early last week. Reflation probably is too strong a word for the likely, prospective path of oil prices, but several factors argue [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 19 2006

  Philadelphia Fed Index Remained Negative

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector remained negative in October. The figure slipped to -0.7 from an unrevised -0.4 last month and disappointed Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 19 2006

  Leading Economic Indicators 0.1% Rise Disappointing

  The Conference Board reported that the composite index of leading economic indicators ticked 0.1% higher last month following an unrevised 0.2% August decline. It was the first m/m rise since June but fell short of Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 19 2006

  Initial Jobless Insurance Claims At Four Month Low

  Last week, initial claims for jobless insurance fell 10,000 to 299,000 after a little revised increase the week earlier. It was the third decline in the last four weeks and dropped claims to the lowest level since early June. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 19 2006

  Philadelphia Fed Index Remained Negative

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector remained negative in October. The figure slipped to -0.7 from an unrevised -0.4 last month and disappointed Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 18 2006

  Mortgage Applications Fell Again

  According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, the total number of mortgage applications fell 2.2% last week for the third decline in the last four weeks. Applications this month are just 0.5% higher than during September. A 0.4% rise [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 18 2006

  Rise in Housing Starts Surprising

  Housing starts in September rose for only the third month this year. The 5.9% increase to 1.772M units fully recovered all of the prior month's little revised 4.9% decline and easily beat Consensus expectations for a slight decline to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 18 2006

  CPI Fell 0.5%, Core Rose an Expected 0.2%

  The consumer price index (CPI-U) fell 0.5% last month due to sharply lower energy prices. The decline outpaced expectations for a 0.3% drop and was the largest m/m decline since last November. The 0.2% rise in prices less food & [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 18 2006

  CPI Fell 0.5%, Core Rose an Expected 0.2%

  The consumer price index (CPI-U) fell 0.5% last month due to sharply lower energy prices. The decline outpaced expectations for a 0.3% drop and was the largest m/m decline since last November. The 0.2% rise in prices less food & [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 17 2006

  NAHB Housing Market Index Ticked Up

  The National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) October Composite Housing Market Index rose to 31 from 30 in September. It was the first m/m increase since last year. Regardless, the latest level remained down by more than one half [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 17 2006

  Lower Gasoline Prices Helped Spending at Chain Stores, Again

  The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS reported that chain store sales increased 0.6% last week on the heels of the prior week's 0.5% rise. The gains limited the decline in sales so far in October to 0.2% versus the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 17 2006

  Industrial Production Fell

  Total U.S. industrial output fell 0.6% last month. Though the decline followed an upwardly revised no change in August output, it again disappointed Consensus expectations which had been for just a 0.1% dip. Factory sector output fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief