Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Nov 20 2006

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Better

  The composite index of leading economic indicators rose 0.2% last month after an upwardly revised 0.4% gain during September, according to the Conference Board. The back to back increases were the first since January and followed [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 20 2006

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Better

  The composite index of leading economic indicators rose 0.2% last month after an upwardly revised 0.4% gain during September, according to the Conference Board. The back to back increases were the first since January and followed [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 17 2006

  Housing Starts Plumb Six Year Low

  In October, housing starts more than retraced the downwardly revised 4.9% September gain and fell 14.6% to the lowest level since July 2000. The latest result fell well short of Consensus expectations for 1.68M starts. At 1.486M [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 17 2006

  Housing Starts Plumb Six Year Low

  In October, housing starts more than retraced the downwardly revised 4.9% September gain and fell 14.6% to the lowest level since July 2000. The latest result fell well short of Consensus expectations for 1.68M starts. At 1.486M [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 16 2006

  Philadelphia Fed Index Improved Slightly

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector matched expectations and improved slightly in November after two months in negative territory. At 5.1, the figure compares with [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 16 2006

  NAHB Housing Market Index Improved Again

  The National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) reported that the November Composite Housing Market Index rose to 33 from 31 in October and from 31 in September. While off its low, the index remained down by roughly one half from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 16 2006

  Industrial Output Ticked Higher, Trend Slowdown Dramatic

  Total U.S. industrial production ticked higher 0.2% during October following the prior month's unrevised 0.6% decline. The increase just missed Consensus expectations for a 0.3% rise.The recent weakness has left output unchanged [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 16 2006

  Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Remained Low

  Initial claims for jobless insurance fell 2,000 to 308,000 last week from an upwardly revised reading during the prior period. Consensus expectations had been for an increase to 311,000 claims. During the last ten years there has been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 16 2006

  CPI Again Fell 0.5%, Core Increase Lightest Since February

  The consumer price index (CPI-U) fell 0.5% during October for the second consecutive month and the decline outpaced expectations for a 0.3% drop. Together, the declines were the largest on record. Energy prices about repeated the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 16 2006

  CPI Again Fell 0.5%, Core Increase Lightest Since February

  The consumer price index (CPI-U) fell 0.5% during October for the second consecutive month and the decline outpaced expectations for a 0.3% drop. Together, the declines were the largest on record. Energy prices about repeated the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 15 2006

  Slower U.S. Sales Require Slower Inventory Accumulation

  Total business inventories rose just 0.4% in September following an unrevised 0.6% rise during August. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.5% increase but together the increases during the last three months which averaged 0.6% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 15 2006

  Mortgage Applications Surged Again

  The total number of mortgage applications surged another 4.3% last week on the heels of the 8.8% recovery at the beginning of November, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. The gains lifted total applications this month 8.2% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief