Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Sep 14 2007

  U.S. Industrial Production Up An Expected 0.2%, But ...

  Industrial production rose an expected 0.2% following a little revised 0.5% July increase. The "But" in the headline, however, is due to a 0.3% decline in factory output. It followed a 0.8% gain which was upwardly revised only a bit [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2007

  U.S. Retail Sales in Line With Forecasts in August but Trend Down

  U.S. August, retail sales rose 0.3% after an upwardly revised 0.5% gain in July. The overall rise was in line with Consensus expectations for a 0.5% increase. A shortfall, however, was registered by sales excluding autos which fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2007

  U.S. Retail Sales in Line With Forecasts in August but Trend Down

  U.S. August, retail sales rose 0.3% after an upwardly revised 0.5% gain in July. The overall rise was in line with Consensus expectations for a 0.5% increase. A shortfall, however, was registered by sales excluding autos which fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 13 2007

  Will Gasoline Prices Continue to Fall?

  U.S. retail gasoline prices have fallen 47 cents, or 15%, from the recent high of $3.22 in the middle of May. Momentum counts for something, but do the fundamentals behind gasoline prices argue for continued declines? The answer is a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 13 2007

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Remained Low

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose a bit last week, but only by 4,000 to 319,000. A much larger increase to 325,000 had been expected by a Consensus of economists that would have reversed roughly half of the prior week's [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 13 2007

  Will Gasoline Prices Continue to Fall?

  U.S. retail gasoline prices have fallen 47 cents, or 15%, from the recent high of $3.22 in the middle of May. Momentum counts for something, but do the fundamentals behind gasoline prices argue for continued declines? The answer is a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 12 2007

  JOLTS: Job Openings Unchanged, Hires Rate Improved (Slightly)

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in the Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the July job openings rate was unchanged from the prior month at 3.0%. Nevertheless, it still was the highest level since January. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 12 2007

  JOLTS: Job Openings Unchanged, Hires Rate Improved (Slightly)

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in the Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the July job openings rate was unchanged from the prior month at 3.0%. Nevertheless, it still was the highest level since January. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 11 2007

  Weekly Chain Store Sales Rose

  The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS reported that chain store sales rose another 0.3% last week, about the same gain as during the prior three weeks. The average level of chain store sales in the first week of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 11 2007

  Small Business Optimism Down

  The index of small business optimism in August fell to a low 96.3 in August versus 97.6 during July, according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB). During the last ten years there has been a 70% correlation [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 11 2007

  U.S. Trade Deficit Continued to Narrow

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit narrowed very slightly in July to $59.2B from a little revised $59.4B in June. The figure was quite near Consensus expectations for a deficit of $59.0B. While only a small improvement, the average [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 11 2007

  U.S. Trade Deficit Continued to Narrow

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit narrowed very slightly in July to $59.2B from a little revised $59.4B in June. The figure was quite near Consensus expectations for a deficit of $59.0B. While only a small improvement, the average [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief