Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Sep 20 2007

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Fell Sharply

  The composite index of leading economic indicators fell nearly twice expectations and declined 0.6% last month, fully reversing all of the prior month's increase, according to the Conference Board. During the last ten years there has [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 20 2007

  U.S. Initial Claims For Jobless Insurance Fell

  Initial claims for jobless insurance fell 9,000 to 311,000 and reversed all of the little revised 5,000 rise during the prior week. An unchanged reading of 322,000 had been expected by a Consensus of economists. A claims level below [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 20 2007

  U.S. Initial Claims For Jobless Insurance Fell

  Initial claims for jobless insurance fell 9,000 to 311,000 and reversed all of the little revised 5,000 rise during the prior week. An unchanged reading of 322,000 had been expected by a Consensus of economists. A claims level below [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 18 2007

  Weekly U.S. Chain Store Sales Fell Sharply

  The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS reported that chain store sales fell sharply last week. The 1.1% decline reversed all of the gains during the prior four weeks. The decline reduced the average level of chain [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 18 2007

  U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index Down, Prospects Gloomy

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) fell 9.1% m/m to another lowest level since early 1991. The index fell to 20 in September, 49% below the high this past February. It was the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 18 2007

  FOMC: Funds & Discount Rates Cut; Spread of Housing Weakness Feared

  At today's Federal Open Market Committee meeting the target interest rate for Federal funds was cut by 50 basis points to 4 3/4 percent. It was the first drop in the rate since 2003. The discount rate also was cut 50 basis points to 5 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 18 2007

  U.S. PPI Fell Sharply; Core Prices Tame, Food Down, Oil Cratered

  Finished producer prices fell 1.4%, the most for any month since October of last year. That followed a 0.6% increase during July and dropped the year to year percent change to 2.1%, its lowest since January. A 0.3% decline had been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 18 2007

  U.S. PPI Fell Sharply; Core Prices Tame, Food Down, Oil Cratered

  Finished producer prices fell 1.4%, the most for any month since October of last year. That followed a 0.6% increase during July and dropped the year to year percent change to 2.1%, its lowest since January. A 0.3% decline had been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 17 2007

  U.S. Empire State Index Down Sharply This Month

  The index of manufacturing activity in New York State in September. The Index of General Business Conditions fell 10.4 points to 14.70 after its 1.4 point drop in August. A shallower decline to 18 had been expected. The figures are [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 17 2007

  U.S. Import Price Inflation Tame

  Overall, August import prices fell 0.3% last month. The decline was led by a 1.3% drop in petroleum prices. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.2% increase. A reversal in that decline is likely for the September figures. Already [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 17 2007

  U.S. Import Price Inflation Tame

  Overall, August import prices fell 0.3% last month. The decline was led by a 1.3% drop in petroleum prices. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.2% increase. A reversal in that decline is likely for the September figures. Already [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2007

  Michigan Consumer Sentiment Up Slightly in September

  The University of Michigan's preliminary reading of consumer sentiment in early September rose 0.5% to 83.8. The increase about matched Consensus expectations for a reading of 83.5 but it was still near the lows of one year ago. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief