Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Oct 18 2007

  Philadelphia Fed Index Dipped

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector dipped in October. The decline to 6.8 followed a great improvement in September to 10.9. During the last ten years there has been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 18 2007

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Rose

  In September, the composite index of leading economic indicators gained back 0.3% of the prior month's 0.8% decline. It was revised from the initial report of a 0.6% decline, according to the Conference Board. During the last ten [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 18 2007

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Jump

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance jumped 28,000 to 337,000 last week and reversed all of the improvement of the prior five weeks. The latest figure covers the survey period for October nonfarm payrolls and claims rose 24,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 18 2007

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Rose

  In September, the composite index of leading economic indicators gained back 0.3% of the prior month's 0.8% decline. It was revised from the initial report of a 0.6% decline, according to the Conference Board. During the last ten [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 17 2007

  U.S. Housing Starts Lowest Since 1992

  With a 10.2% m/m decline last month, housing starts at 1.191M units fell to the lowest level since 1992. Consensus expectations had been for a lesser drop to 1.29M starts. The August figure was little revised. Single-family starts [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 17 2007

  U.S. CPI Gain Quickest Since May, Core Rate 0f 0.2% Stable

  The consumer price index (CPI-U) rose 0.3% last month and that was the quickest since May. At 2.8%, the y/y rise also picked up and was the fastest since March. The September increase was slightly ahead of expectations for a 0.2% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 17 2007

  U.S. CPI Gain Quickest Since May, Core Rate 0f 0.2% Stable

  The consumer price index (CPI-U) rose 0.3% last month and that was the quickest since May. At 2.8%, the y/y rise also picked up and was the fastest since March. The September increase was slightly ahead of expectations for a 0.2% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 16 2007

  Weekly U.S. Chain Store Sales Recovered Smartly

  The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS reported that chain store sales last week recovered by 1.0% after roughly no change during the prior two periods. Despite the latest increase, the average level of store sales [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 16 2007

  U.S. Industrial Production Gain Minimal

  Industrial production nudged up minimally last month. The 0.1% rise followed no change in August. The September gain matched Consensus expectations. Factory output fared no better and posted no change after an unrevised 0.3% August [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 16 2007

  U.S. Industrial Production Gain Minimal

  Industrial production nudged up minimally last month. The 0.1% rise followed no change in August. The September gain matched Consensus expectations. Factory output fared no better and posted no change after an unrevised 0.3% August [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 15 2007

  U.S. Business Inventories'Increase Down With Slower Sales Growth

  Weakening growth in U.S. sales has necessitated a dramatic slowing of growth in business inventories during the last year. Annual growth in business sales has more than halved to 3% as of August. That decline has been led by weaker [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 15 2007

  U.S. Budget Deficit Narrowed Sharply

  For Fiscal Year 2007, the U.S. government's budget deficit narrowed sharply to 162.8B versus a deficit during FY 2006 of 248.2B. For the third consecutive year, the deficit's narrowing occurred as revenue growth surged ahead of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief