Small business optimism fell a sharp 3.0% last month according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB). It was the largest m/m decline since December 2006 and it pulled optimism to the lowest level since during the [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Feb 12 2008Small Business Optimism Lowest Since 1990
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 12 2008
U.S. Chain Store Sales Fell, Gasoline Prices Down
According to the International Council of Shopping Centers ICSC-UBS Chain store survey, chain store sales fell 0.7% last week after the 1.7% recovery during the prior period. Despite the decline, sales so far this month are up 0.5% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 12 2008
U.S. Chain Store Sales Fell, Gasoline Prices Down
According to the International Council of Shopping Centers ICSC-UBS Chain store survey, chain store sales fell 0.7% last week after the 1.7% recovery during the prior period. Despite the decline, sales so far this month are up 0.5% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 08 2008
U.S. Consumer Credit Growth Eased in December but Accelerated in 2007
At an annual rate consumer credit grew 2.2% during December, down sharply from the revised 8.5% jump in November. For all of last year, however, credit growth picked up slightly to 5.5% from 4.5% in 2006. In fact growth last year was [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 08 2008
U.S. Consumer Credit Growth Eased in December but Accelerated in 2007
At an annual rate consumer credit grew 2.2% during December, down sharply from the revised 8.5% jump in November. For all of last year, however, credit growth picked up slightly to 5.5% from 4.5% in 2006. In fact growth last year was [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 07 2008
U.S. Pending Home Sales Seeking a Bottom?
The National Association of Realtors reported that the level of pending home sales in December fell 1.5% from November following that month's decline of 3.0%. These notable declines, however, followed increases during the prior two [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 07 2008
U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Slipped
Initial claims for jobless insurance slipped 22,000 last week to 356,000. The decline pulled back only a piece of the prior week's upwardly revised 72,000 surge. The latest remained near the highest level since October of 2005. The [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 07 2008
U.S. Pending Home Sales Seeking a Bottom?
The National Association of Realtors reported that the level of pending home sales in December fell 1.5% from November following that month's decline of 3.0%. These notable declines, however, followed increases during the prior two [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 06 2008
U.S. Productivity Down in Q4 But Up for All of 2007; Factory Sector Costs Up
Nonfarm labor productivity growth last quarter slowed considerably to 1.8% from a little revised 6.0% during 3Q07. The preliminary 4Q figure beat Consensus expectations for a 0.5% rise. Despite the 4Q slowdown, productivity growth of [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 06 2008
U.S. Productivity Down in Q4 But Up for All of 2007; Factory Sector Costs Up
Nonfarm labor productivity growth last quarter slowed considerably to 1.8% from a little revised 6.0% during 3Q07. The preliminary 4Q figure beat Consensus expectations for a 0.5% rise. Despite the 4Q slowdown, productivity growth of [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 05 2008
U.S. Factory Numbers Dominated by Aircraft Industry
Factory inventories rose 0.8% during December. That gain followed a 0.7% increase during November and pulled the three month increase in inventories to 1.6%, up from a low of 0.2% in August. Nevertheless the 3.6% rise in inventories [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 05 2008
U.S. Chain Store Sales in Modest Uptrend
Chain store sales last week recovered the prior period's loss with a 1.7% rise, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS. The gain followed a 1.2% decline at the end of January. Sales for all of January [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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