U.S. exports through February rose 22% from a year earlier. The double digit growth rate reflects broad based export gains to virtually all of America's trading partners. No doubt, the weaker foreign exchange value of the dollar is [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Apr 23 2008The U.S. Export Boom: Where Do They Go?
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 22 2008U.S. Gasoline Prices Top $3.50 per Gallon
The retail price for a gallon of regular gasoline topped $3.50 last week. According to the U.S. Department of Energy survey, prices rose twelve cents w/w to a new record of $3.51 per gallon. Higher prices on the spot market drove the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 22 2008U.S. Chain Store Sales Slip
According to the International Council of Shopping Centers ICSC-UBS Chain Store survey, sales slipped 0.7% last week and took back about all of the prior week's gain.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 22 2008U.S. Existing Home Sales Fell, Prices Rose
According to the National Association of Realtors, March sales of existing home sales fell 2.0% m/m to 4.930M. The drop reversed most of February's unrevised 2.9% increase and it was as expected. The downward momentum behind last [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 22 2008U.S. Existing Home Sales Fell, Prices Rose
According to the National Association of Realtors, March sales of existing home sales fell 2.0% m/m to 4.930M. The drop reversed most of February's unrevised 2.9% increase and it was as expected. The downward momentum behind last [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 21 2008Chicago Fed Index Indicates Recession
The National Activity Index (CFNAI) for March, published by the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank, improved slightly to -0.78 from its low February reading of -1.28. Nevertheless, the recent level was near the lowest since early 2003 and [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 21 2008Chicago Fed Index Indicates Recession
The National Activity Index (CFNAI) for March, published by the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank, improved slightly to -0.78 from its low February reading of -1.28. Nevertheless, the recent level was near the lowest since early 2003 and [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 17 2008U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Up Slightly
The composite index of leading economic indicators, reported by the Conference Board, increased 0.1% in March after an unrevised 0.3% February decline. It was the leaders' first increase in six months. During the last ten years there [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 17 2008MAPI Business Outlook Survey Fell Again
The 1Q '08 Composite Business Index published by the Manufacturers' Alliance/MAPI fell to 57 from 64 in 4Q '07. The latest reading was the lowest since 4Q '06. During the last ten years there has been a 69% correlation between the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 17 2008Philadelphia Fed Index Down Again
The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank reported that its April Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector fell to -24.9% and reversed all of the prior month's modest improvement. The latest level was the lowest [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 17 2008U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Up
Initial unemployment insurance claims last week rose 17,000 to 372,000. During the prior week, claims fell 51,000 and that was slightly less of a decline than reported initially. Consensus expectations had been for claims to total [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 17 2008U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Up Slightly
The composite index of leading economic indicators, reported by the Conference Board, increased 0.1% in March after an unrevised 0.3% February decline. It was the leaders' first increase in six months. During the last ten years there [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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