Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Oct 03 2008

  Largest Decline in U.S. Payrolls Since Early 2003

  Nonfarm payrolls declined 159,000 during September, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The latest decline was the largest during each of the last nine months and it exceeded Consensus expectations for a 105,000. It was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 02 2008

  U.S. Factory Inventory Level Continued Higher

  Factory inventories increased another 0.6% during August, the same as during July. That lifted the y/y gain to 8.6%, its strongest since late 2006. Growth in inventories within the transportation sector has been strong at 14.6% y/y. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 02 2008

  U.S. Initial Claims For Unemployment Insurance Rose

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose to 497,000 from an upwardly revised 496,000 during the week prior. The latest was the highest level since the recession of 2001. The four-week moving average jumped to 474,000 (48.8% y/y) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 02 2008

  U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Backpedal

  U.S. September sales of light vehicles reversed their August rise and fell 8.9%, according to the Autodata Corporation. The sales rate of 12.50M units fell back to its July level, which was the lowest sales rates since 1992. Sales for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 02 2008

  U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Backpedal

  U.S. September sales of light vehicles reversed their August rise and fell 8.9%, according to the Autodata Corporation. The sales rate of 12.50M units fell back to its July level, which was the lowest sales rates since 1992. Sales for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 01 2008

  U.S. Construction Spending in August Unchanged M/M, Down 5.9% Y/Y

  The value of construction put in place was unchanged during August but the decline in July was revised doubled to 1.4%. The decline for August compared to expectations for a slight, 0.5% drop. Year-to-year, the decline in construction [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 01 2008

  ISM Index Plunged to Recession Level

  The Institute for Supply Management reported that it's Composite Index of Manufacturing Sector Activity plunged to its lowest level since the end of the 2001 recession. The decline to 43.5 in September from an August reading of 49.9 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 01 2008

  U.S. Challenger Layoffs Back Up

  Job cut announcements rose 7.2% to 95,094 in September reversing half of their August decline, according to the Challenger, Grey & Christmas survey. The three-month level layoffs also increased to 95,714 and was near the highest level [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 01 2008

  ADP Report: Payroll Employment Decline Moderated

  The payroll processor ADP released its National Employment Report for September. Private nonfarm payrolls were indicated to have fallen 8,000 after a downwardly revised 37,000 decline during August. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 01 2008

  ADP Report: Payroll Employment Decline Moderated

  The payroll processor ADP released its National Employment Report for September. Private nonfarm payrolls were indicated to have fallen 8,000 after a downwardly revised 37,000 decline during August

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 30 2008

  Consumer Confidence Rose Further in September

  For September, the Conference Board reported that its index of consumer confidence rose 2.2% to 59.8. That followed an upwardly revised 12.7% increase during August. The latest rise contrasted with Consensus expectations for a m/m [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 30 2008

  Chicago Purchasing Managers' Barometer Dipped

  For September, the Chicago Purchasing Manager's Association reported that its business barometer dipped. However, the 2.1% decline in the index to 56.7 reversed only a small part of its 14.0% m/m jump during August. Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief