Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 30 2009

  Commodity Prices Meander

  At best, the recent movement in commodity prices suggests that recessionary forces are diminishing. Prices for oil, copper and grains have stabilized after sharp declines in last year's second half. The price of gold has moved to the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 30 2009

  Commodity Prices Meander

  At best, the recent movement in commodity prices suggests that recessionary forces are diminishing. Prices for oil, copper and grains have stabilized after sharp declines in last year's second half. The price of gold has moved to the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 27 2009

  Michigan Consumer Sentiment Improves As The Opinion Of Government Jumps

  As reported mid-month, consumers' moods have stabilized as suggested by the University of Michigan. It reported that the full month March reading of consumer sentiment held stable in the range of the last several months. Despite this [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 27 2009

  U.S. Personal Spending Increases Again, Modestly

  Consumer spending is recovering from its swoon this past Fall. The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that personal spending during February logged its second increase after six consecutive monthly declines. That recovery is [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 27 2009

  U.S. Personal Spending IncreasesAgain, Modestly

  Consumer spending is recovering from its swoon this past Fall. The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that personal spending during February logged its second increase after six consecutive monthly declines. That recovery is [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 26 2009

  U.S. Continuing Claims for Unemployment Insurance Reach Another Record High

  Labor market stress continues. Continuing claims for unemployment insurance rose to yet another record high of 5,560,000 and remained nearly double that of last March. The series dates back to 1966. The four-week average of continuing [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 26 2009

  U.S. 4Q GDP Decline Remains Sharpest Since Early 1980s As Profits Crater

  The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis indicated that its revised estimate of 4Q '08 was little changed. The 6.3% (AR) decline compared to the preliminary estimate of a 6.2% drop. Nevertheless, the decline was the steepest since 1982 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 26 2009

  U.S. 4Q GDP Decline Remains Sharpest Since Early 1980s As Profits Crater

  The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis indicated that its revised estimate of 4Q '08 was little changed. The 6.3% (AR) decline compared to the preliminary estimate of a 6.2% drop. Nevertheless, the decline was the steepest since 1982 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 25 2009

  U.S. New Home Sales Step Up From Record Low

  February sales of new single-family homes ticked up off their lowest level in the series' history. Their 4.7% month-to-month rebound to 337,000 units, nevertheless, left them down by roughly three-quarters from their peak during July [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 25 2009

  Rise in U.S. Durable Goods Orders Surprises

  New orders for durable goods rose a surprising 3.4% last month after a revised 7.3% January decline that was deeper than reported initially. Despite the latest increase, new orders have fallen by roughly one quarter since the middle [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 25 2009

  Rise in U.S. Durable Goods Orders Surprises

  New orders for durable goods rose a surprising 3.4% last month after a revised 7.3% January decline that was deeper than reported initially. Despite the latest increase, new orders have fallen by roughly one quarter since the middle [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 24 2009

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Lose Earlier Momentum

  February chain store sales may belatedly have benefited as Christmas gift cards were cashed in. Now, however the effects of higher unemployment seem to have taken hold. Store sales fell in three of the last four weeks and the decline [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief