Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Oct 19 2011

  U.S. CPI Increase Matches Expectations But Y/Y Is Strong

  The overall CPI gained an expected 0.3% during September following a 0.4% August rise. The y/y increase of 3.9% was the strongest since September, 2008. Higher food & energy prices bloated the monthly increase; thus the rise in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 18 2011

  U.S. Home Builders' Index Jumps

  Housing activity firmed in October according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo report on housing market activity. The Composite Housing Market Index jumped four points to 18, its highest level since May of last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 18 2011

  U.S. Petroleum Prices Move Higher

  Last week the pump price for a gallon of regular gasoline increased six cents to $3.48, the highest level since late-September. Nevertheless, prices remained down versus May when they averaged $3.91. Retail prices usually start to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 18 2011

  U.S. Producer Prices Show Unexpected Strength

  Pricing power is up at the wholesale level. The September producer price index for finished goods jumped 0.8% after an unrevised no-change during August. The figure compared to Consensus expectations for a 0.2% rise, according to the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 17 2011

  U.S. Budget Deficit Remains Roughly Unchanged During FY 2011

  The U.S. Government's budget deficit for all of FY 2011 was $1,298.6B versus $1,294.2B in FY 2010, according to figures released late-Friday by the U.S. Treasury and the Office of Management and Budget. As a percent of GDP the deficit [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 17 2011

  U.S. Industry Produces A Bland Recovery

  Industrial production rose just 0.2% last month following no change during August, originally reported as +0.1%. The latest increase matched Consensus expectations, according to Action Economics. Factory sector output was somewhat [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 17 2011

  Empire State Factory Index Remains Under Pressure

  The Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported that its Empire State Factory Index of General Business Conditions ticked up to -8.48 in October. Nevertheless it remained roughly where it's been since June. The number was weaker than [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 14 2011

  U.S. Business Inventory Growth Holds Steady

  The U.S. Commerce Department reported that business inventory growth held steady in August at 0.5%. A 0.4% increase was expected and July was revised from 0.4%. Business sales increased a moderated 0.3%. As a result, the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 14 2011

  U.S. Import Prices Nudge Higher

  Overall U.S. import prices rose 0.3% during September after a 0.2% August decline, revised from -0.4%. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.3% September drop. Year-to-year, the lower value of the U.S. dollar as well as higher oil [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 14 2011

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Slips

  The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment for mid-October fell to 57.5 from an unrevised 59.4 inn September. The figure was weaker than Consensus expectations for 60.0. Consumers' reading of current economic conditions [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 14 2011

  U.S. Retail Sales Post A Firm Gain

  The consumer got tired of not spending last month. That's the message from a firm 1.1% increase in September retail & food service sales. It followed an upwardly revised 0.3% August increase, last month reported as unchanged. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 13 2011

  U.S. Trade Deficit Is Stable -- With China A Record

  The foreign trade deficit for August held at $45.6B versus a revised $45.6B in July, initially reported as $44.8B. Expectations had been for $46.0B, according to Action Economics. Exports slipped 0.1% (+14.7% y/y) following their 3.4% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief