Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Oct 13 2011

  U.S. Trade Deficit Is Stable -- With China A Record

  The foreign trade deficit for August held at $45.6B versus a revised $45.6B in July, initially reported as $44.8B. Expectations had been for $46.0B, according to Action Economics. Exports slipped 0.1% (+14.7% y/y) following their 3.4% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 13 2011

  U.S. Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Slip

  Initial claims for jobless insurance slipped to 404,000 last week versus 405,000 a week earlier (revised from 401,000). The latest figure roughly equaled Consensus expectations for 405,000 claims, according to the Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 12 2011

  U.S. JOLTS Rate Slips But The Number of Openings Falls Hard

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in its Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the August job openings rate slipped m/m to 2.3%. The latest reading remained improved versus the recession low of 1.6%. The job openings [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 12 2011

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Rise With Low Interest Rates

  The index of total mortgage applications rose 1.3% last week to 744.2 (March 16, 1990 = 100). Applications have risen more-than 80% since their early-year low. The jump has come as lower interest rates spurred refinancing. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 12 2011

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Remain Weak Although Crude Oil Backs Up Sharply

  Last week the pump price for a gallon of regular gasoline slipped one penny to $3.42. That slip followed sharp declines since late-May that have amounted to fifty-four cents. Retail prices usually start to ease this time of year with [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 11 2011

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Remain Depressed

  For chain stores, this month's sales began no better than they finished September. Chain store sales slipped 0.1% last week and reversed the prior week's uptick. As a result, sales began October 0.4% below the September average which [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 11 2011

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Stabilizes

  The National Federation of Independent Business indicated that its September index of small business optimism ticked up to 88.9 from an unrevised 88.1 in August. Nevertheless, it remained near the lowest level since last July. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 10 2011

  U.S. Consumer Credit Extension Pulls Back

  Consumers may have developed some economic uncertainty. Reported late Friday, overall consumer credit outstanding fell $9.5B following a revised $11.9B July rise, initially reported as $15.5B. An $8.0B increase had been expected by [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 07 2011

  U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls' Modest Rise Aided By Strike's End

  Last month's reading for jobs growth was better, but not great. Nonfarm payrolls rose 103,000 last month after August and July increases which were upwardly revised. Several factors, however, discount any notion of broad-based labor [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 06 2011

  U.S. Weekly Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Tick Higher But Trend Sideways

  They've done this before. Initial claims for jobless insurance rose a slight 6,000 to 391,000,000 last week from 395,000 (revised from 391,000). Together, the two numbers were near the lowest of 2011. However, this reaching for a low [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 06 2011

  U.S. Weekly Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Tick Higher But Trend Sideways

  They've done this before. Initial claims for jobless insurance rose a slight 6,000 to 391,000 last week from 395,000 (revised from 391,000). Together, the two numbers were near the lowest of 2011. However, this reaching for a low was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 05 2011

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Slip W/W But Rise M/M

  The index of total mortgage applications fell 4.3% last week to 734.0 (March 16, 1990 = 100). Despite the decline, applications rose slightly for the full month. Overall, applications have risen more-than 80% since their early-year [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief