Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jan 10 2012

  U.S. Crude Oil & Gasoline Prices Rise Again

  The pump price for regular gasoline rose another eight cents last week to $3.38 per gallon following the prior week's four cent gain. Retail prices usually decline this time of year with reduced seasonal demand. To account for this [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 10 2012

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Improves Further

  Small businesses are gaining more confidence in the economy. The National Federation of Independent Business indicated that its December index of small business optimism rose to 93.8 from an unrevised 92.0 in November. The latest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 10 2012

  U.S. JOLTS Rate Slips From Latest High

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in its Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the November job openings rate slipped to 2.3% from an unrevised 2.4%. Nevertheless, the latest reading remained improved versus the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 10 2012

  U.S. Consumer Credit Outstanding Surges

  Consumers felt confident enough during November to significantly strengthen their usage of credit. The Federal Reserve reported that overall consumer credit surged $20.4B after a revised $6.0B gain during October, initially reported [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 06 2012

  U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls Post Moderate Increase; Unemployment Rate Lower

  The job market gave further indication of moderate improvement. Nonfarm payrolls grew 200,000 (1.3% y/y) in December and the prior two months were little-revised. Consensus expectations had been for a 150,000 gain in December [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 05 2012

  Challenger Reports Fewer Job Cuts

  The outplacement firm of Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that job cut announcements during December slipped to a six-month low of 41,785 from November's 42,474. The latest figure was the lowest since June. The low level of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 05 2012

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Improves Just Slightly

  In a testimony to still sluggish economic growth, service sector activity improved just slightly last month. The Composite Index for the service and construction sectors from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) ticked up to 52.6 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 05 2012

  U.S. Initial Claims For Jobless Insurance Decline

  The labor market realized another improvement last week. Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell to 372,000 last week from 387,000 the week earlier (revised from 381,000). The latest reading was the lowest since May, 2008. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 05 2012

  ADP Reports Further Strengthening In Job Growth

  Improvement in the job market continued to pick up steam last month. According to the payroll processor Automatic Data Processing (ADP) and economic consultants Macroeconomic Advisers, private nonfarm payrolls grew 325,000 (0.3% m/m) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 05 2012

  U.S. Vehicle Sales End Year On A Firm Note

  Last year was a good one for auto makers. December's unit sales of light vehicles of 13.56M (AR) rose 8.4% from one year earlier. That pulled full year sales to 12.78M, up 10.4% after 2010's 11.6% gain. Last month's sales were nearly [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 04 2012

  U.S. Factory Orders Sharply Increase And Inventories Build

  Manufacturing orders jumped an expected 1.8% (11.6% y/y) during November following a little-revised 0.2% October slip. Higher orders for durable goods powered the increase with a 3.7% rise, roughly unchanged from the advance report. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 04 2012

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Reach Record During Holiday Season

  Shoppers felt the urge to spend (a lot) during the holiday season. Chain store sales jumped another 1.2% last week (5.3% y/y) to a record high. During the last ten years there has been a 66% correlation between the y/y change in chain [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief