Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jan 31 2012

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Reaches High Since April

  The Conference Board's Index of Consumer Confidence gained again for December, adding 9.3 points to 64.5 (seasonally adjusted, 1985=100) and suggesting that November's 14.3-point surge was not a fluke. Consensus estimates had looked [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 31 2012

  U.S. Employment Cost Index Posts Stable Increase

  Labor compensation is growing at a steady rate. The employment cost index for private industry workers rose 0.4% in Q4 for total compensation versus an unrevised 0.4% Q2 rise. The Q4 increase fell short of expectations for a 0.4% rise [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 30 2012

  Intuit Indicates Small Business Hiring But Weak Earnings

  Intuit compiles data covering small business employment and 2012 started with a weak gain. For January, its employment index rose 0.2% to 96.14. The index has been rising for just over two years but this month's gain was the weakest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 30 2012

  U.S. Consumers Choose To Save Income Gain

  For the first time in six months, individuals made a meaningful effort to save rather spend a firm gain in income. The personal savings rate rose to 4.0% last month from an unrevised 3.5% in November. To be sure, it wasn't a great [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 27 2012

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Improves Further

  The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment for the full month of January was 75.0, up from 74.0 at mid-month and from 69.9 in December. The latest figure was the highest since last February and better than Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 27 2012

  U.S. GDP Growth Is Strongest Since Q2'10 But Misses Expectations

  Economic growth returned to its trend last quarter, but no more. In its advance estimate the Commerce Department indicated that Q4'11 real GDP grew at a 2.8% annual rate. Expectations had been for a 3.0% rise. The figure was improved [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 26 2012

  U.S. New Home Sales & Prices Fall

  The market for new homes remains under pressure. Total new home sales fell 2.2% last month to 307,000 (AR) and reversed the little-revised 2.3% November gain. Sales fell short of Consensus expectations for 320,000. Indeed, last year [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 26 2012

  U.S. Durable Goods Orders Rise Again Reflecting Broad-Based Increases

  New orders for durable goods increased 3.0% last month following a 4.3% rise during November. The full-year gain in orders of 10.1% after the 15.4% rise in 2010 and was consistent with other indications of factory sector improvement [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 26 2012

  U.S. Chicago Fed Index Shows Improvement

  The Chicago Fed's National Activity Index (CFNAI) provided another indication of modest economic improvement. For December, the index rose to 0.17 from -0.46 in November, which was little-revised. The latest figure was its highest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 26 2012

  U.S. Initial Claims For Jobless Insurance Move Slightly Higher

  First-time claims for jobless insurance rose last week but the recent trend lower remained intact. Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose to 377,000 last week from 356,000 during the previous period (revised from 352,000). [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 25 2012

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Stutter

  A one-month drop belies a firming trend. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that December pending sales of single-family homes fell 3.5% (+5.6% y/y) following two months of strong increase. Sales rose 7.3% in November [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 25 2012

  U.S. Mortgage Applications For Refinancing Remain High

  The index of total mortgage applications slipped 5.0% last week to 663.1 (March 16, 1990 = 100). The decline followed the prior week's nearly one-quarter jump. As borrowers took advantage of low interest rates, applications to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief