Japans economy watchers survey cycled higher from late 2004 through early 2005. Then it dropped off until picking up to a minor peak in August 2006. From that mini- peak it spread out on a gradual increase until it fell sharply [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.
Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Jun 08 2007Land of the Setting Sun? Japan’s Surveys Falter Again…
- Global| Jun 08 2007
U.S. Trade Deficit Shrinks Real Exports Outpace Real Imports
Lest the headline give you any misinformation let me point out that the US trade deficit is a nominal phenomenon and nominal exports did also outpace nominal imports. That is a necessary but not a sufficient condition to shrink the [...]
- Global| Jun 08 2007
U.S. Trade Deficit Shrinks Real Exports Outpace Real Imports
Lest the headline give you any misinformation let me point out that the US trade deficit is a nominal phenomenon and nominal exports did also outpace nominal imports. That is a necessary but not a sufficient condition to shrink the [...]
- Global| Jun 07 2007
U.S. Wholesale Inventories Signal Smoother Sailing
Wholesale inventory trends tell a very positive story. We take out the volatile and special readings from autos and petroleum to look at aggregated stocks and sales trends for all other wholesale classifications. Once done we obtain [...]
- Global| Jun 07 2007
U.S. Wholesale Inventories Signal Smoother Sailing
Wholesale inventory trends tell a very positive story. We take out the volatile and special readings from autos and petroleum to look at aggregated stocks and sales trends for all other wholesale classifications. Once done we obtain [...]
- Global| Jun 07 2007
U.S. Wholesale Inventories Signal Smoother Sailing
Wholesale inventory trends tell a very positive story. We take out the volatile and special readings from autos and petroleum to look at aggregated stocks and sales trends for all other wholesale classifications. Once done we obtain [...]
- Global| Jun 06 2007
Challenger Lay Offs Stay Elevated
The first issue to grapple with in trying to assess the Challenger report is that its data are not seasonally adjusted. At the same time it is clear that this series has seasonal patterns. To get around this we compare the data to the [...]
- Global| Jun 06 2007
U.S. Productivity is Down and Unit Labor Costs are Up
Productivity is trending lower for manufacturing (MFG) as well as overall for nonfarm businesses. The accompanying chart makes the downturn clear. For nonfarm business the erosion seems to date back to mid-2005. For nonfarm [...]
- Global| Jun 06 2007
Productivity is Down and Unit Labor Costs are Up
Productivity is trending lower for manufacturing (MFG) as well as overall for nonfarm businesses. The accompanying chart makes the downturn clear. For nonfarm business the erosion seems to date back to mid-2005. For nonfarm [...]
- Global| Jun 05 2007
Non MFG ISM strength is cycling higher—so are prices
The NonMFG ISM shows that its components are indeed cycling higher. Prices are up strongly. Backlogs while below the neutral value of 50 are nonetheless rising strongly from their six month average. Still, they edged lower in the [...]
- Global| Jun 05 2007
Nonmfg ISM Strength is Cycling Higher - so are Prices
The nonmanufacturing ISM shows that its components are indeed cycling higher. Prices are up strongly. Backlogs while below the neutral value of 50 are nonetheless rising strongly from their six month average. Still, they edged lower [...]
- Global| Jun 05 2007
Nonmfg ISM Strength is Cycling Higher - so are Prices
The nonmanufacturing ISM shows that its components are indeed cycling higher. Prices are up strongly. Backlogs while below the neutral value of 50 are nonetheless rising strongly from their six month average. Still, they edged lower [...]
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