The OECD LEIs are giving off much more optimistic signals theses days. Ordinary progressive growth rates ( 12-mo to 6-mo to 3-mo) in the table’s top panel show that decelerations in the indicators have ceased across the OECD area for [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.
Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Jul 10 2009OECD Indicators Begin To Turn Up
- Global| Jul 09 2009
UK Trade Picture: Better In Month But In Flux
The UK trade balance shrank to 6.26bln sterling in May from 7.14bln in April. Exports edged lower, while imports fell by 4% in May. Export and import trends do not show very dramatic signs of change. Exports are declining by a bit [...]
- Global| Jul 08 2009
German IP Follows Orders Higher
German industrial production rose by 3.7% in May from April. It has risen in two of the last three-months. IP is accelerating, rising at a 5.4% annual rate over three-months compared to a rate of minus 22.2% over six-months and minus [...]
- Global| Jul 06 2009
Auto Registrations Lead Recovery In Europe
Special programs to incentivize new car purchases are having success in spurring new passenger car registrations in Europe. European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso said Monday that the recession in Europe will extend [...]
- Global| Jul 06 2009
Worse Vs Much Worse...
The accompanying chart makes the point that US rate of unemployment has risen a lot and Europe’s has risen by a little. Still the higher US rate of unemployment will fall sharply in recovery whereas Europe’s history suggests that its [...]
- Global| Jul 01 2009
Tankan Improves: Still In Slow-Motion
The percentile readings on the far right of the table tell the real story. A bottom 12 percentile range result is about the strongest reading for any component except for the outlook surveys where the standing is a 20% to 30% result [...]
- Global| Jun 30 2009
UK GDP Is Officially A Train Wreck Impact Of GDP-Gap To Become A More Serious Matter For Argumentation
‘Official’ train wreck?? Maybe I shouldn’t say ‘officially’ since no one in officialdom has really declared it so. And I don’t want those with policies at Lloyds to come running for remuneration because they are insured against injury [...]
- Global| Jun 26 2009
French Confidence, Still In A Deep Pit, Rises
Consumer confidence in France has risen in three of the last for months with one month marking a pause in the rising trend. French confidence hit its low point in July of 2008 at a level of -48. Since then although the recession has [...]
- Global| Jun 25 2009
Despite Headlines About New Record Drops, Europe Is Healing
Orders in the Area fell by 32.1% a new Yr/Yr record leading to headlines about how slow the European recovery is going to be. But the pace of decline in orders over three months has been sharply reduced to an annual rate of decline of [...]
- Global| Jun 24 2009
Consumer Confidence Recovers In Italy
Consumer confidence in Italy has risen firmly in June. Confidence now has risen in five of the past seven months having fallen in only one of those months. The trend to improvement is clear. The overall confidence measure from ISAE is [...]
- Global| Jun 23 2009
Europe Continues to Make a Turn Higher: Sector Results Turn Mixed in June
Markit PMIs composite index rises - The Euro Area FLASH PMI for MFG rose in June but that happy event was partly offset by a decline in the region’s services survey. The composite index comprised of both MFG and Services rose to 44.4, [...]
- Global| Jun 22 2009
EMU Trade Balance Deficit For Goods Shrinks
The EMU (16-country) consolidated balance of trade with countries outside the region fell to eru336mln in April from eur1.7bln in March. The Year-to-date deficit of eur2.5BLn is below the YTD average for the same period of a year ago [...]
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