The 1Q '05 Composite Business Index published by the Manufacturers' Alliance/MAPI improved slightly to 71 from 70 the prior quarter. Since 1992 there has been a 68% correlation between the Composite Index Level and quarterly growth in [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Apr 18 2005MAPI Business Outlook Improved
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Apr 18 2005
MAPI Business Outlook Improvedаа
The 1Q '05 Composite Business Index published by the Manufacturers' Alliance/MAPI improved slightly to 71 from 70 the prior quarter. Since 1992 there has been a 68% correlation between the Composite Index Level and quarterly growth in [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Apr 15 2005
U.S. Consumer Sentiment Down As Expectations Waned
The University of Michigan's preliminary reading of consumer sentiment in April fell 4.2%. The m/m decline was the largest since last May, was much deeper than Consensus expectations for a more moderate decline and pulled Sentiment to [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Apr 15 2005
Imported Price Inflation Up Sharply
The 1.8% rise in import prices last month greatly exceeded Consensus expectations for a 1.3% increase and the prior month's gain was revised up. Petroleum prices jumped 10.6% m/m and pulled prices one third higher than last year, but [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Apr 15 2005
Empire State Index Down Sharply
The April Empire State Index of General Business Conditions in New York's manufacturing industries dropped sharply 3.12 from an upwardly revised March level. The decline was to the lowest level since 2003. The new orders component [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Apr 15 2005
Industrial Production Gain All Utilities
Industrial production matched Consensus expectations and rose 0.3% in March following a downwardly revised 0.2% gain in February. The increase was due to cold weather which lifted utility output by 3.7% (5.0% y/y). Factory sector [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Apr 15 2005
Industrial Production Gain All Utilities
Industrial production matched Consensus expectations and rose 0.3% in March following a downwardly revised 0.2% gain in February. The increase was due to cold weather which lifted utility output by 3.7% (5.0% y/y). Factory sector [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Apr 14 2005
U.S. Business Inventories Still Building
Total business inventories rose another 0.5% in February but figures back to 2002 were revised somewhat lower. Nevertheless, the y/y rate of inventory accumulation continued strong at 8.2% yet still lagged the improvement in sales [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Apr 14 2005
Initial Claims For Jobless Insurance Down Again
Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell last week by 10,000 to 330,000 versus an upwardly revised level the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for 330,000 claims. During the last ten years there has been a (negative) [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Apr 14 2005
JOLTS: U.S. Job Openings Steady
The Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated the job openings rate held steady in February at 2.5% versus the revised January level. Both figures remained down slightly from the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Apr 14 2005
JOLTS: U.S. Job Openings Steady
The Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated the job openings rate held steady in February at 2.5% versus the revised January level. Both figures remained down slightly from the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Apr 13 2005
Mortgage Applications Recover
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications recovered 6.1% last week to the highest level in four weeks. Nevertheless, the average level so far in April is 3.9% below March which fell 4.8% from February. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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