US retail sales rose 0.3% in March but the gain fell quite short of Consensus expectations for a 0.8% rise. The 0.5% increase in February was unrevised though figures back to 2003 were revised slightly lower. March sales excluding [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Apr 13 2005U.S. Retail Sales' Gain Light
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 13 2005U.S. Retail Sales' Gain Light
US retail sales rose 0.3% in March but the gain fell quite short of Consensus expectations for a 0.8% rise. The 0.5% increase in February was unrevised though figures back to 2003 were revised slightly lower. March sales excluding [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 12 2005Chain Store Sales Up Again
Chain store sales rose 0.3% for the second week according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The increase last week pulled the average level in April about even with March. During the last ten years [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 12 2005Small Business Optimism Extended Decline, Pricing Up
The March Small Business Optimism Index reported by the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) fell 1.1% from February and is down 4.8% from the peak last November. The percentage of firms expecting the economy to improve [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 12 2005Flat Exports & Soaring Oil Prices = Another Record U.S. Trade Deficit
The U.S. foreign trade deficit in February surged to another record of $61.0B and exceeded Consensus expectations for a $59.0B deficit. January's figure was little revised. Total exports were unchanged for the second consecutive [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 12 2005Flat Exports & Soaring Oil Prices = Another Record U.S. Trade Deficit
The U.S. foreign trade deficit in February surged to another record of $61.0B and exceeded Consensus expectations for a $59.0B deficit. January's figure was little revised. Total exports were unchanged for the second consecutive [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 11 2005OECD Leaders Decline Broadly
The Leading Index of the Big 7 OECD economies slipped 0.3% in February following three consecutive months of gain. The decline reversed the earlier improvement in the index's six month growth rate and it fell to 0.3%, the weakest in [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 11 2005OECD Leaders Decline Broadly
The Leading Index of the Big 7 OECD economies slipped 0.3% in February following three consecutive months of gain. The decline reversed the earlier improvement in the index's six month growth rate and it fell to 0.3%, the weakest in [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 08 2005$100 For a Barrel of Oil?
In a recent report the International Monetary Fund echoed the notion posed earlier by a Wall Street brokerage that crude oil could touch $100 per barrel in the foreseeable future. Will The Oil Market Continue To Be Tight? is available [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 08 2005$100 For a Barrel of Oil?
In a recent report the International Monetary Fund echoed the notion posed earlier by a Wall Street brokerage that crude oil could touch $100 per barrel in the foreseeable future. Will The Oil Market Continue To Be Tight? is available [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 07 2005Initial Claims For Jobless Insurance Fell
After increasing steadily from the early February low, initial claims for unemployment insurance fell last week by 19,000 to 334,000 versus an upwardly revised level the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for 330,000 claims. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 07 2005Initial Claims For Jobless Insurance Fell
After increasing steadily from the early February low, initial claims for unemployment insurance fell last week by 19,000 to 334,000 versus an upwardly revised level the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for 330,000 claims. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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