Initial unemployment insurance claims dropped a sharp 36,000 last week to 296,000. The prior week's 9,000 decline was little revised and it marked the third drop in as many weeks, to the lowest level since late 2000. Consensus [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Apr 21 2005Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Fell Sharply
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 21 2005Chicago Fed Nat'l Activity Index Suggests a Soft Spot
The National Activity Index (CFNAI) compiled by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago fell to 0.11 in March, the lowest level since last September.A zero value of the CFNAI indicates that the economy is expanding at its historical trend [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 21 2005Leading Indicators Down
The Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators reported by the Conference Board fell 0.4% in March, the second decline in three months. Six-month growth in the leaders fell further to -0.5%. Growth in the leaders deeper than -2.5% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 21 2005Leading Indicators Down
The Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators reported by the Conference Board fell 0.4% in March, the second decline in three months. Six-month growth in the leaders fell further to -0.5%. Growth in the leaders deeper than -2.5% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 20 2005Mortgage Applications Lower
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications fell 1.6% last week and pulled the average level so far in April 3.5% below March which fell 4.8% from February. Purchase applications fell 1.6% for the second [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 20 2005CPI Boosted by Energy & Services
Consumer Prices (CPI-U) rose 0.6% in March versus Consensus expectations for a 0.5% rise.Prices less food & energy rose 0.4%, double expectations for a 0.2% increase. Energy prices doubled the prior month's increase with a 4.0% gain [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 20 2005CPI Boosted by Energy & Services
Consumer Prices (CPI-U) rose 0.6% in March versus Consensus expectations for a 0.5% rise.Prices less food & energy rose 0.4%, double expectations for a 0.2% increase. Energy prices doubled the prior month's increase with a 4.0% gain [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 19 2005Chain Store Sales Pass A "Soft Spot"
Chain store sales rose 1.0% last week according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. Coming on the heels of 0.3% increases during the prior two weeks, the increase lifted the average level in April up [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 19 2005Housing Starts Off Sharply
Housing starts fell a sharp 17.6% from the record high the prior month which was revised slightly higher from the initial report. March starts of 1.837M were the lowest since November of last year.Consensus expectations had been for a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 19 2005PPI Again Boosted by Petroleum
The Producer Price Index for finished goods rose 0.7% in March, the largest one month rise since November and surpassed Consensus expectations for a 0.6% gain. Excluding food & energy prices, however, the PPI rose 0.1% for the second [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 19 2005PPI Again Boosted by Petroleum
The Producer Price Index for finished goods rose 0.7% in March, the largest one month rise since November and surpassed Consensus expectations for a 0.6% gain. Excluding food & energy prices, however, the PPI rose 0.1% for the second [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 18 2005U.S. Budget Deficit - Tax Day 2005
Revenues from Tax Day (April 15th) for 2005 won't be tallied for another month, but the figures for the first half of FY 2005 indicate the U.S. Federal government's budget deficit lessened just $6.8B versus the first half of FY 2004. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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