Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Oct 17 2005

  October Empire State Index Fell Unexpectedly

  The Empire State Index of General Business Conditions in New York's manufacturing industries for October fell unexpectedly to 12.08 from a downwardly revised 15.58 in September. Consensus expectations had been for improvement to 19.0. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 17 2005

  FY 2005 U.S. Budget Deficit Fell Due To Higher Receipts

  The U.S. federal government ran a budget deficit of $318.6B during FY05, down nearly one quarter from the record deficit of $412.1B during the prior fiscal year.As a percentage of GDP, the deficit fell to 2.6% from 3.6% in FY04. Net [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 17 2005

  FY 2005 U.S. Budget Deficit Fell Due To Higher Receipts

  The U.S. federal government ran a budget deficit of $318.6B during FY05, down nearly one quarter from the record deficit of $412.1B during the prior fiscal year.As a percentage of GDP, the deficit fell to 2.6% from 3.6% in FY04. Net [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 14 2005

  U.S. Business Inventories Rebuilt

  August total business inventories reversed the prior month's decline and rose 0.4%. The increase was double Consensus expectations, the first since May and the largest since March. Nevertheless, the ratio of inventories-to-sales [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 14 2005

  Hurricanes Curtailed Industrial Output

  Industrial output last month fell 1.3% reflecting the effects of Hurricane's Katrina & Rita and the decline by far outpaced Consensus expectations for a 0.4% drop. Utility output (-0.9%) and mining output (-9.1%) again reflected the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 14 2005

  Depressed U.S. Consumer Sentiment Fell Further

  The preliminary October reading of consumer sentiment at 75.4 from the University of Michigan slipped 2.0% from September to the lowest level since 1992 and contrasted to Consensus expectations for improvement to 80.0. During the last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 14 2005

  Record Gain in Energy Prices Lifted CPI; Core Prices Tame

  The consumer price index (CPI-U) was a bit stronger than Consensus expectations for a 0.9% rise last month. The 1.2% gain was the strongest for any month since 1980 and lifted the y/y increase to its strongest (4.7%) since 1991. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 14 2005

  U.S. Retail Sales Up; Core Spending Firm

  US retail sales rose 0.2% last month following a 1.9% August drop that was slightly shallower than initially reported. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.4% increase. Less autos, however, retail sales beat expectations for a 0.7% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 14 2005

  Record Gain in Energy Prices Lifted CPI; Core Prices Tame

  The consumer price index (CPI-U) was a bit stronger than Consensus expectations for a 0.9% rise last month. The 1.2% gain was the strongest for any month since 1980 and lifted the y/y increase to its strongest (4.7%) since 1991. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 13 2005

  Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Slipped

  Initial filings for unemployment insurance fell to 389,000 last week versus an upwardly revised 391,000 the prior period. Consensus expectations had been for 370,000 claims. The Labor Department indicated that last week 75,000 initial [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 13 2005

  Import Prices Surged Again

  The 2.3% rise in import prices last month more than doubled Consensus expectations for a 1.0% increase. Surprising was a 1.2% gain in nonpetroleum prices that was a record for any one month. Petroleum prices also were strong and the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 13 2005

  U.S. Trade Deficit Deeper Due to Oil

  Higher oil prices caused the U.S. foreign trade deficit to deepen in August to $59.0B from a July deficit of $58.0B which was little revised. Consensus expectations had been for a slightly deeper August deficit of $59.5B. Imports of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief