Global| Oct 14 2005U.S. Retail Sales Up; Core Spending Firm
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
US retail sales rose 0.2% last month following a 1.9% August drop that was slightly shallower than initially reported. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.4% increase. Less autos, however, retail sales beat expectations for a 0.7% [...]
US retail sales rose 0.2% last month following a 1.9% August drop that was slightly shallower than initially reported. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.4% increase. Less autos, however, retail sales beat expectations for a 0.7% gain and increased 1.1% after an unrevised 1.0% August rise.
Sales at gasoline service stations surged 4.0%, about the same pace as during the prior three months, as the retail price of gasoline rose 16.8% m/m to an average $2.90 per gallon. So far in October gas prices have averaged $2.88.
Less gasoline, nonauto retail sales rose the same 0.6% (6.7% y/y) as in August. The increase was boosted by a 1.0% (8.6% y/y) jump in building material sales which followed a 0.7% August rise.
Sales at furniture & electronics stores jumped 1.0% (7.2% y/y) after an upwardly revised 0.8% August increase. Sales of nonstore retailers (internet & catalogue) added 0.2% (11.1% y/y) to the prior month's 2.9% pop and general merchandise store sales rose 0.9% (6.8% y/y). Apparel store sales lagged the pace and fell 0.2% (+5.7% y/y).
Oil Prices and Consumer Spending from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond is available here.
| Sept | Aug | Y/Y | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Sales & Food Services | 0.2% | -1.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Excluding Autos | 1.1% | 1.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
More Economy in Brief
