Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell 3,000 to 322,000 last week following a little revised 12,000 decline the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for 325,000 claims. During the last ten year there has been a [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Dec 29 2005Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Inched Up
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 28 2005
Mortgage Applications At Three Year Low
The total number of mortgage applications fell a hard 6.8% last week to the lowest level since mid-2002 and pulled the average level during December down 6.0% from November. Purchase applications were notably weak, again. The 4.5% w/w [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 28 2005
Chain Store Sales Reflect A Cheery Spirit & Lower Gas Prices
Chain store sales added 2.8% last week to the 2.4% jump during the week prior according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The two increases did much to rescue the December average from an abysmal [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 28 2005
Consumer Confidence Buoyed By More Jobs & Lower Gas Prices
The December index of Consumer Confidence surged 5.4% to 103.6 on top of a 15.4% recovery the prior month, reported the conference Board. The index stood at the highest level since August and exceeded Consensus expectations for a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 28 2005
Consumer Confidence Buoyed By More Jobs & Lower Gas Prices
The December index of Consumer Confidence surged 5.4% to 103.6 on top of a 15.4% recovery the prior month, reported the conference Board. The index stood at the highest level since August and exceeded Consensus expectations for a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 27 2005
Inverted Treasury Yield Curve Signals Less Liquidity
At 4.40%, current yields on 10 Year Treasury securities for the most part match the yields on the 2 Year. Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan, and many economists, have indicated that the yield curve's ability to signal changes in economic [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 27 2005
Inverted Treasury Yield Curve Signals Less Liquidity
At 4.40%, current yields on 10 Year Treasury securities for the most part match the yields on the 2 Year. Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan, and many economists, have indicated that the yield curve's ability to signal changes in economic [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 23 2005
November New Home Sales Reverse October's Gain
New single-family home sales in November fell 11.3% to 1.245M and reversed more than all of the prior month's downwardly revised 11.4% increase. Consensus expectations had been for a more moderate decline to 1.31M. Sales fell across [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 23 2005
U.S. Consumer Sentiment Again Stronger Than Expected
Consumer sentiment late in December added to gains earlier in the month, reported the University of Michigan. At 91.5 for the month as a whole, sentiment rose 12.1% from November which had risen 10.0% from October and beat Consensus [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 23 2005
Rise in U.S. Durable Goods Orders All Air(craft)
Orders for nondefense aircraft more than doubled m/m last month (158.6% y/y) and combined with a 51.6% surge in October to lift durable goods orders 4.4% versus Consensus expectations for a 1.0% November rise. Less the volatile [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 23 2005
Rise in U.S. Durable Goods Orders All Air(craft)
Orders for nondefense aircraft more than doubled m/m last month (158.6% y/y) and combined with a 51.6% surge in October to lift durable goods orders 4.4% versus Consensus expectations for a 1.0% November rise. Less the volatile [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 22 2005
Mass Layoffs Rose
Mass layoffs rose 8.7% from October. Year to year, the number of mass layoffs fell by 13.1%. During the last ten years there has been a (negative) 87% correlation between the three month average level of layoff announcements and the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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